SWK vs MLM Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Stanley Black & Decker and Martin Marietta Materials both have exposure to construction and infrastructure spending, but Stanley Black & Decker manufactures hand and power tools sold to professionals and consumers, while Martin Marietta produces essential construction aggregates and materials used directly in infrastructure and building projects.
Stanley Black & Decker offers exposure to a tool manufacturing turnaround story tied to margin recovery, while Martin Marietta offers exposure to essential construction materials with strong local pricing power benefiting from infrastructure spending. Consider whether you prefer Stanley Black & Decker's margin recovery potential or Martin Marietta's pricing power and infrastructure demand exposure.
MLM holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. SWK leads on both 1-year return (+38.14%) and forward P/E quality (14.68x vs 24.67x for MLM), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. MLM leads on both revenue growth (21.00%) and operating margin (20.18%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for MLM (+24.49%) than for SWK (+8.13%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a well-known tool brand portfolio undergoing a margin recovery effort
- Believe ongoing cost-savings programs can restore profitability toward historical levels
- Are comfortable with sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending and housing activity
- See turnaround potential in a well-established industrial brand
- Want exposure to essential construction aggregates with strong local pricing power
- Believe public infrastructure spending programs will drive sustained demand growth
- Value geographically concentrated resource advantages that are difficult to replicate
- Are comfortable with capital-intensive, acquisition-driven industry consolidation
| Metric | SWK | MLM |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 27.7 | 51.3 |
| AI ranki | #2310 | #431 |
| Latest closei | $95.44 | $509.02 |
| 1M returni | +7.62% | +1.87% |
| 3M returni | +6.94% | -7.56% |
| 6M returni | +26.08% | -16.64% |
| 1Y returni | +38.14% | -18.83% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SWK | MLM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.47K (+34.7%) started 2025-10-21 | $8.05K (-19.5%) started 2025-10-21 |
| 5Y ago | $6.47K (-35.3%) started 2021-10-22 | $13.96K (+39.6%) started 2021-10-22 |
| 10Y ago | $12.36K (+23.6%) started 2016-10-24 | $32.22K (+222.2%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SWK | MLM |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $13.97B | $37.71B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 22.61 | 34.37 |
| Forward P/Ei | 14.68 | 24.67 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.67 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.22 | 5.70 |
| Analyst targeti | $100.00 | $661.13 |
| Target upsidei | +8.13% | +24.49% |
| Metric | SWK | MLM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 0.40% | 21.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 247.80% | -23.20% |
| EPS growthi | +247.80% | -23.20% |
| FCF margini | +9.31% | +8.87% |
| Operating margini | 8.44% | 20.18% |
| Profit margini | 4.07% | 36.74% |
| ROIC proxyi | 6.89% | 8.89% |
| Return on equityi | 6.89% | 8.89% |
| Dividend yieldi | 3.63% | 0.63% |
| Payout ratioi | 81.17% | 21.59% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Debt/equityi | 58.17 | 54.95 |
| Current ratioi | 1.43 | 1.41 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.47 | 0.65 |
Over the past year, SWK and MLM have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.54), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SWK | MLM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +34.69% | -19.46% |
| CAGRi | +34.75% | -19.49% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.51% | 28.38% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.88 | -0.78 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.40 | -1.03 | |
| Max drawdowni | 26.95% | 33.47% | |
| Current drawdowni | 8.23% | 28.12% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.99% | 14.29% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 11.75% | 17.58% | |
| Max daily dropi | 6.94% | 6.56% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 12.04% | 9.84% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -42.91% | +36.50% |
| CAGRi | -10.61% | +6.42% | |
| Volatilityi | 38.34% | 27.09% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.22 | 0.20 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.31 | 0.28 | |
| Max drawdowni | 68.03% | 33.47% | |
| Current drawdowni | 45.38% | 28.12% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 48.60% | 12.24% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 50.54% | 15.16% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.07% | 6.56% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.64% | 14.83% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -1.75% | +201.21% |
| CAGRi | -0.18% | +11.67% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.04% | 31.00% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.06 | 0.37 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.08 | 0.53 | |
| Max drawdowni | 71.31% | 48.34% | |
| Current drawdowni | 50.98% | 28.12% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 32.72% | 11.66% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 40.60% | 14.84% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.58% | 13.55% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 35.89% | 27.45% |
| Category | SWK | MLM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. |
| Sector | Industrials | Basic Materials |
| Industry | Tools & Accessories | Building Materials |
| Core business | A global manufacturer of hand tools, power tools, and related accessories sold under well-known brands, serving both professional trade customers and do-it-yourself consumers through retail and industrial distribution channels. | A producer of construction aggregates, including crushed stone, sand, and gravel, along with cement and other heavy building materials used in infrastructure, non-residential, and residential construction projects across the United States. |
| Investor focus | Tool segment margin recovery progress, cost-savings program execution, and consumer versus professional demand trends across its retail and industrial channels. | Aggregates pricing trends, infrastructure spending-driven volume growth, and margin expansion from operational efficiency and pricing discipline. |
- Portfolio of well-known, trusted tool brands supports strong shelf presence and customer loyalty across retail channels
- Ongoing cost-savings and supply chain restructuring programs aim to restore margins toward historical levels
- Diversified customer base spanning professional tradespeople and do-it-yourself consumers provides some demand balance
- Essential, geographically concentrated aggregates resources create local supply advantages that are difficult for competitors to replicate
- Strong pricing power in aggregates has supported consistent margin expansion over time
- Benefits directly from public infrastructure spending programs that drive demand for construction materials
- Margins have been pressured by input costs and supply chain disruptions, requiring sustained execution to fully recover
- Consumer discretionary spending on tools is sensitive to housing market activity and broader economic conditions
- Faces ongoing competition from both established tool manufacturers and lower-cost private label alternatives
- Construction materials volumes are sensitive to broader construction activity cycles, including residential and non-residential building
- Aggregates business is capital-intensive, requiring ongoing investment in quarries and production facilities
- Growth through acquisitions carries integration risk as the company expands its geographic footprint
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