RACE vs TSLA: Luxury Scarcity Model vs Mass-Market EV and AI Platform: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Ferrari and Tesla represent opposite ends of the automotive spectrum. Ferrari is a low-volume, ultra-luxury brand that deliberately restricts supply to maximize margins and exclusivity. Tesla is a high-volume EV manufacturer evolving into an AI and energy platform. Ferrari offers margin stability and brand resilience; Tesla offers massive optionality across EVs, autonomy, energy, and robotics but with more execution risk.
Use this RACE vs TSLA comparison to evaluate two radically different automotive business models: Ferrari's luxury scarcity strategy generating 25%+ margins from 14,000 cars per year versus Tesla's mass-market scale play with optionality across EVs, AI autonomy, energy storage, and robotics.
TSLA holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. TSLA has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+5.98% vs -16.26%), though RACE has the better forward P/E setup (32.47x vs 161.56x for TSLA). On fundamentals, TSLA is growing revenue faster (25.50%), while RACE maintains the higher operating margin (31.06%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +11.72% for RACE and +11.85% for TSLA.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to ultra-luxury consumer spending with recession-resistant demand from high-net-worth buyers
- Value best-in-class operating margins above 25% with high visibility from a multi-year order backlog
- Prefer a predictable, high-quality business model with steady ASP growth and limited execution risk
- Believe Ferrari's brand equity will translate successfully into the electric vehicle era
- Want exposure to multiple high-TAM opportunities: EVs, autonomy, energy storage, and robotics
- Believe FSD will reach full autonomy and enable a robotaxi network worth more than the core auto business
- Are comfortable with higher volatility and execution risk in exchange for platform-level upside
- Value Tesla's energy storage growth and AI capabilities as underappreciated segments of the business
| Metric | RACE | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 57.8 | 70.8 |
| AI ranki | #185 | #35 |
| Latest closei | $409.95 | $354.08 |
| 1M returni | +0.77% | +10.12% |
| 6M returni | +15.82% | -12.69% |
| 1Y returni | -16.26% | +5.98% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | RACE | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.47K (-15.3%) started 2025-09-04 | $10.46K (+4.6%) started 2025-09-04 |
| 5Y ago | $20.12K (+101.2%) started 2021-09-07 | $14.11K (+41.1%) started 2021-09-07 |
| 10Y ago | $98.49K (+884.9%) started 2016-09-06 | $261.85K (+2518.5%) started 2016-09-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | RACE | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $72.63B | $1.38T |
| Trailing P/Ei | 38.44 | 322.92 |
| Forward P/Ei | 32.47 | 161.56 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 10.05 | 13.03 |
| Analyst targeti | $461.68 | $390.09 |
| Target upsidei | +11.72% | +11.85% |
| Metric | RACE | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 8.40% | 25.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 10.10% | -3.00% |
| EPS growthi | +10.10% | -3.00% |
| FCF margini | +13.63% | +4.67% |
| Operating margini | 31.06% | 1.41% |
| Profit margini | 22.25% | 3.67% |
| ROIC proxyi | 45.44% | 4.67% |
| Return on equityi | 45.44% | 4.67% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.03% | N/A |
| Betai | 0.59 | 1.83 |
| Debt/equityi | 86.39 | 18.37 |
| Current ratioi | 2.43 | 1.94 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.76 | 1.35 |
Over the past year, RACE and TSLA have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.19), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | RACE | TSLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -16.26% | +4.59% |
| CAGRi | -16.27% | +4.60% | |
| Volatilityi | 35.40% | 47.34% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.45 | 0.24 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.60 | 0.33 | |
| Max drawdowni | 37.58% | 39.10% | |
| Current drawdowni | 17.74% | 27.72% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 24.00% | 15.00% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.59% | 17.94% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.99% | 14.52% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.95% | 20.24% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +93.42% | +41.08% |
| CAGRi | +14.13% | +7.14% | |
| Volatilityi | 30.04% | 59.85% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.44 | 0.34 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.64 | 0.50 | |
| Max drawdowni | 39.22% | 73.63% | |
| Current drawdowni | 19.89% | 27.72% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.46% | 33.77% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.63% | 37.99% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.99% | 15.43% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.95% | 27.20% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +810.05% | +2518.55% |
| CAGRi | +24.73% | +38.64% | |
| Volatilityi | 29.62% | 59.55% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.74 | 0.77 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.10 | 1.16 | |
| Max drawdowni | 39.22% | 73.63% | |
| Current drawdowni | 19.89% | 27.72% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 10.24% | 25.31% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 14.32% | 30.68% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.99% | 21.06% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.95% | 43.05% |
| Category | RACE | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Ferrari N.V. | Tesla, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers | Auto Manufacturers |
| Core business | Italian ultra-luxury sports car manufacturer producing roughly 14,000 vehicles annually with deliberate supply scarcity to maintain exclusivity and pricing power. Operating margins exceed 25%, driven by limited production, extensive personalization options, and a multi-year order backlog. Expanding into hybrid and electric powertrains while preserving the brand's performance heritage. | Leading electric vehicle manufacturer and energy technology company with over 1.8 million vehicles delivered annually. Beyond EVs, Tesla operates a growing energy storage business (Megapack), develops Full Self-Driving (FSD) autonomy software, and is building a humanoid robot (Optimus). The company is increasingly positioned as an AI and robotics platform rather than just an automaker. |
| Investor focus | Order backlog visibility, average selling price growth through personalization and special editions, margin expansion trajectory, EV transition execution, and brand equity preservation as electrification accelerates. | Vehicle delivery growth and margins, FSD autonomy progress and potential robotaxi launch, energy storage revenue trajectory, Optimus robot commercialization timeline, and the evolution from automaker to AI/robotics platform valuation. |
- Deliberate supply scarcity with multi-year order backlogs supports 25%+ operating margins and rising ASPs
- Ultra-luxury brand equity is among the strongest in any industry, providing extraordinary pricing power
- Personalization and limited-edition models drive continuous average selling price growth without volume increases
- Largest EV manufacturer globally with vertically integrated production, battery technology, and charging infrastructure
- FSD autonomy software and potential robotaxi network represent a high-margin, high-TAM optionality
- Energy storage (Megapack) business growing over 100% annually with expanding margins
- Electric vehicle transition must preserve the brand's performance identity and emotional connection with buyers
- Tiny production volume means any quality or regulatory issue is amplified across a small base
- Premium valuation relative to automotive peers requires continued margin expansion and ASP growth
- Automotive margins under pressure from price cuts and intensifying EV competition globally
- FSD and robotaxi timelines have been repeatedly delayed, creating credibility risk for future promises
- Brand perception challenges and CEO controversy have impacted demand in key European and US markets
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