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BYDDY
BYD Company Limited · Consumer Discretionary
$10.92
-1.00% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
NIO
NIO Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$5.01
-3.84% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
BYDDY
0
NIO
3
NIO LEADS 3/5
Comparison scoreboard
NIO LEADS 3/5
AI Score
BYDDY N/A
NIO 26.4
1Y Return
BYDDY -28.81%
NIO +20.14%
Fwd P/E
BYDDY 15.86
NIO 4.27
Target Up.
BYDDY +37.36%
NIO +47.05%
Op. Margin
BYDDY N/A
NIO N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 7/14/2026
Quick take

BYD vs NIO Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

BYD is the world's largest EV manufacturer with strong margins, vertical integration, and global expansion ambitions, while NIO is a premium Chinese EV brand differentiating through battery swap and a growing mass-market sub-brand. BYD is the safer, more profitable China EV business; NIO is the higher-risk growth story targeting premium differentiation.

BYD vs NIO is global EV volume leadership versus premium Chinese EV ecosystem — BYD wins if scale, integration, and global expansion drive sustained margin leadership; NIO wins if battery swap becomes a preferred ownership model and ONVO successfully enters mass market.

Live analysis · updated 7/14/2026

NIO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. NIO leads on both 1-year return (+20.14%) and forward P/E quality (4.27x vs 15.86x for BYDDY), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NIO (+47.05%) than for BYDDY (+37.36%).

Normalized 1Y performance
BYDDY
NIO
Recent returns
BYDDY
NIO
Analyst price targets & sentiment
BYDDY · 1 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$15.00
analyst high$15.00
analyst mean$15.00
current price$10.92
+37.4% upside to analyst mean
NIO · 24 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.7/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$4.03
analyst high$10.02
analyst mean$7.37
current price$5.01
+47.0% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
BYD may suit investors who:
  • want the world's largest EV/PHEV producer with proven scale manufacturing
  • prefer a profitable, vertically integrated EV company vs higher-risk startups
  • value BYD's Blade Battery and PHEV technology as durable competitive advantages
  • want China EV exposure with global international expansion potential
NIO may suit investors who:
  • want premium China EV exposure with a unique battery swap ecosystem
  • believe ONVO will successfully capture mass market and drive volume leverage
  • are comfortable with negative margins and high cash burn in exchange for differentiation potential
  • prefer NIO's brand community and customer experience focus over BYD's volume strategy
Performance & AI score
MetricBYDDYNIO
AI scoreN/A26.4
AI rankN/A#2613
Latest close$10.92$5.01
1M return-1.00%-3.84%
6M return-11.79%+3.30%
1Y return-28.81%+20.14%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodBYDDYNIO
1Y ago$7.15K (-28.5%)
started 2025-07-14
$12.01K (+20.1%)
started 2025-07-14
5Y ago$12.42K (+24.2%)
started 2021-07-14
$1.16K (-88.4%)
started 2021-07-14
10Y ago$58.81K (+488.1%)
started 2016-07-14
$7.59K (-24.1%)
started 2018-09-12

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricBYDDYNIO
Market cap$99.56B$12.55B
Trailing P/E24.82N/A
Forward P/E15.864.27
Price/Sales0.130.12
EV/Revenue0.160.17
Analyst target$15.00$7.37
Target upside+37.36%+47.05%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricBYDDYNIO
Revenue growth-11.80%112.20%
Earnings growth-56.90%N/A
EPS growth-56.90%N/A
FCF margin-14.94%N/A
Operating marginN/AN/A
Profit margin3.52%-9.09%
ROIC proxy11.15%-83.96%
Return on equity11.15%-83.96%
Dividend yield0.49%0.00%
Beta0.310.90
Debt/equity55.07183.30
Current ratio0.811.01
Quick ratio0.380.63
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
BYDDY max drawdown45.14%
NIO max drawdown43.73%
BYDDY max wkly drop13.60%
NIO max wkly drop14.75%
5Y risk snapshot
BYDDY max drawdown52.28%
NIO max drawdown93.29%
BYDDY max wkly drop21.07%
NIO max wkly drop29.90%
10Y risk snapshot
BYDDY max drawdown58.11%
NIO max drawdown95.00%
BYDDY max wkly drop21.29%
NIO max wkly drop42.65%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricBYDDYNIO
1YGrowth-28.81%+20.14%
CAGR-28.83%+20.16%
Sharpe ratio-0.830.53
Max drawdown45.14%43.73%
Max daily drop6.55%10.05%
Max wkly drop13.60%14.75%
5YGrowth+19.82%-88.36%
CAGR+3.68%-34.96%
Sharpe ratio0.21-0.32
Max drawdown52.28%93.29%
Max daily drop11.00%17.07%
Max wkly drop21.07%29.90%
10YGrowth+453.72%-24.09%
CAGR+18.67%-3.46%
Sharpe ratio0.500.31
Max drawdown58.11%95.00%
Max daily drop11.00%21.16%
Max wkly drop21.29%42.65%
Business comparison
CategoryBYDDYNIO
CompanyBYD Company LimitedNIO Inc.
SectorConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Discretionary
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessChina's largest EV manufacturer by volume and the world's leading electric vehicle producer by deliveries. BYD makes EVs and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) across a wide price range under BYD, Denza, Fang Cheng Bao, and Yangwang brands. BYD also makes batteries, semiconductors, and solar panels with a vertically integrated supply chain.Premium Chinese EV brand with battery swap network, battery-as-a-service subscription, and ONVO mass-market sub-brand. NIO targets differentiated premium buyers who value the swap ecosystem over standard charging.
Investor focusDelivery volume and market share globally, PHEV and battery technology leadership, international expansion (Europe, Southeast Asia, Latin America), and operating margin at scale.Delivery volumes, ONVO brand ramp, gross margin improvement, and cash burn trajectory toward breakeven.
BYDDY strengths
  • World's highest volume EV and PHEV producer with industry-leading manufacturing scale and supply chain integration
  • BYD's Blade Battery and DM 5.0 PHEV technology are widely considered best-in-class in China
  • Vertical integration across batteries, semiconductors, and power electronics gives BYD cost advantages vs peers
NIO strengths
  • Battery swap network is a unique ecosystem advantage that BYD and other competitors have not replicated at scale
  • Premium brand positioning allows higher ASPs than BYD's mass-market vehicles
  • ONVO opens the mass-market segment without cannibalizing NIO brand premium
Risks to watch — BYDDY
  • Intense price competition in China has driven margins down as BYD and Tesla fight for market share
  • International expansion faces tariffs (EU, US) and regulatory hurdles that may slow growth outside China
  • Sheer volume makes BYD's growth rate naturally slower as the base effect kicks in
Risks to watch — NIO
  • NIO's vehicle gross margins remain very low, putting the company in a very different profitability position from BYD
  • BYD's scale, brand strength, and technology are growing into NIO's premium segment
  • Cash burn from battery swap infrastructure and NIO House expansion is heavy
Frequently asked questions
BYD is the safer investment with proven profitability, massive scale, and global expansion. NIO is higher-risk, burning more cash, with lower margins, but differentiates through battery swap and premium branding. Long-term, BYD's financials and scale are far more attractive; NIO's battery swap ecosystem is its unique bet.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
BYDDY
+2.8%BUY
NIO
+1.1%HOLD

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