TSLA vs STLA Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
TSLA and STLA sit at opposite extremes of how the market values automakers. Tesla is priced as a technology company with option value on autonomy, robotics, and energy storage, and its automotive margins have narrowed under competitive pressure. Stellantis is priced as a cyclical manufacturer in trouble, with real brand assets and depressed earnings. Narrative premium against value discount.
Use this TSLA vs STLA comparison to be explicit about what you are paying for. With Tesla, a large part of the valuation depends on outcomes that do not exist yet as commercial businesses at scale. With Stellantis, you are paying very little for existing cash-generating franchises and betting management can fix operational mistakes.
STLA holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. TSLA has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-15.96% vs -50.59%), though STLA has the better forward P/E setup (4.23x vs 161.56x for TSLA). On fundamentals, TSLA is growing revenue faster (25.50%), while STLA maintains the higher operating margin (2.24%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for STLA (+32.43%) than for TSLA (+11.85%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to autonomy, robotics, and energy storage optionality
- Value manufacturing scale, direct sales, and the charging network
- Accept that much of the valuation depends on unproven future businesses
- Can tolerate high volatility and governance concentration
- Want a low valuation on real, established vehicle franchises
- Believe the North American pricing and inventory problem is temporary
- Prefer paying for current earnings rather than future possibilities
- Accept European weakness and the risk of a slow recovery
| Metric | TSLA | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 70.3 | 26.5 |
| AI ranki | #38 | #2485 |
| Latest closei | $372.11 | $4.60 |
| 1M returni | +7.60% | -10.68% |
| 6M returni | +2.84% | -31.45% |
| 1Y returni | -15.96% | -50.59% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | TSLA | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.79K (-12.1%) started 2025-09-25 | $4.94K (-50.6%) started 2025-09-25 |
| 5Y ago | $14.11K (+41.1%) started 2021-09-27 | $4.51K (-54.9%) started 2021-09-27 |
| 10Y ago | $267.08K (+2570.8%) started 2016-09-26 | $31.17K (+211.7%) started 2016-09-26 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | TSLA | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.38T | $19.85B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 322.92 | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 161.56 | 4.23 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 13.03 | 0.23 |
| Analyst targeti | $390.09 | $6.98 |
| Target upsidei | +11.85% | +32.43% |
| Metric | TSLA | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 25.50% | 13.10% |
| Earnings growthi | -3.00% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | -3.00% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +4.67% | -1.88% |
| Operating margini | 1.41% | 2.24% |
| Profit margini | 3.67% | -12.10% |
| ROIC proxyi | 4.67% | -28.69% |
| Return on equityi | 4.67% | -28.69% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.83 | 0.99 |
| Debt/equityi | 18.37 | 84.39 |
| Current ratioi | 1.94 | 1.04 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.35 | 0.68 |
Over the past year, TSLA and STLA have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.23), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | TSLA | STLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -12.11% | -50.59% |
| CAGRi | -12.13% | -50.61% | |
| Volatilityi | 45.95% | 50.45% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.15 | -1.23 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.20 | -1.54 | |
| Max drawdowni | 39.10% | 63.12% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.04% | 62.05% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.39% | 31.87% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.91% | 37.51% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.52% | 23.69% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 20.24% | 26.24% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +41.06% | -68.07% |
| CAGRi | +7.13% | -20.44% | |
| Volatilityi | 59.85% | 42.33% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.34 | -0.43 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.50 | -0.59 | |
| Max drawdowni | 73.63% | 82.32% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.04% | 81.81% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 34.03% | 35.56% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 38.08% | 43.48% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.43% | 23.69% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.20% | 26.24% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +2570.77% | +39.36% |
| CAGRi | +38.90% | +3.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 59.56% | 41.56% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.77 | 0.18 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.17 | 0.25 | |
| Max drawdowni | 73.63% | 82.32% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.04% | 81.81% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 25.44% | 29.32% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 30.73% | 37.12% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.06% | 23.69% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 43.05% | 36.69% |
| Category | TSLA | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Tesla, Inc. | Stellantis N.V. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers | Auto Manufacturers |
| Core business | Electric vehicle manufacturer with a growing energy storage and generation business, developing autonomous driving software, robotaxi services, and humanoid robotics. Sells directly to consumers and operates its own charging network. | Multinational automaker from the Fiat Chrysler and PSA merger, operating Jeep, Ram, Chrysler, Dodge, Peugeot, Citroën, Fiat, and Opel across North America and Europe. |
| Investor focus | Vehicle deliveries and automotive gross margin, energy storage deployment growth, progress and regulatory approval of autonomous driving, and capital spending on new initiatives. | North American inventory and pricing recovery, European demand and compliance costs, brand rationalisation, cost discipline, and capital return. |
- Energy storage has become a large and rapidly growing business in its own right
- Manufacturing scale, direct sales, and charging network are real structural advantages
- Optionality on autonomy and robotics that legacy automakers are not pursuing at comparable scale
- Valuable Jeep and Ram franchises in the most profitable US vehicle segments
- Diversified across brands and geographies
- Very low valuation relative to normalised earnings power
- Automotive margins have compressed as competition and price cuts intensified
- Much of the valuation rests on autonomy and robotics outcomes that remain unproven
- Key-person and governance concentration is unusually high
- Recent profit collapse from overpricing and excess North American inventory
- Weak European market with expensive emissions compliance obligations
- Too many brands for the engineering and capital resources available
Compare more than two at a time
This page is a fixed writeup on TSLA and STLA. Our comparison engine is the interactive version: load up to five tickers, switch timeframes, and get the correlation, drawdown, and overlap analysis that a static page can't show.
Add three more names beside TSLA and STLA, mixing stocks and ETFs in the same table — useful when the real question is which of a whole peer group to own.
AI score, forward P/E, analyst target upside, operating margin, and revenue growth are scored head-to-head, with a running tally of which ticker leads on how many metrics.
Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
A scatter plot of forward P/E against return on equity, plus drawdown and 30-day rolling volatility charts, to separate what is cheap from what is merely beaten down.
For ETFs, a top-holdings comparison that exposes hidden overlap between funds. Every comparison exports to CSV for your own spreadsheet work.
Two comparisons a week are free without an account. A 14-day trial removes the limit and adds AI price forecasts, stock rankings, saved watchlists, and the intrinsic value calculator — no credit card required.
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.
Full valuation workup with AI Score, Monte Carlo forecast, and bull/bear case — free preview, premium data from $3.99.