SHOP vs BABA Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Shopify's software-and-payments merchant-enablement model against Alibaba's marketplace-and-cloud e-commerce conglomerate.
Use this Shopify vs Alibaba Group comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
SHOP holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. SHOP has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-8.29% vs -19.48%), though BABA has the better forward P/E setup (1.81x vs 59.15x for SHOP). SHOP leads on both revenue growth (33.70%) and operating margin (17.55%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for BABA (+65.21%) than for SHOP (+17.96%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | SHOP | BABA |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 72.7 | 41.6 |
| AI ranki | #29 | #983 |
| Latest closei | $134.10 | $112.66 |
| 1M returni | -11.53% | -12.27% |
| 6M returni | +3.66% | -16.92% |
| 1Y returni | -8.29% | -19.48% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SHOP | BABA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.17K (-8.3%) started 2025-09-08 | $8.13K (-18.7%) started 2025-09-08 |
| 5Y ago | $9.07K (-9.3%) started 2021-09-08 | $7.47K (-25.3%) started 2021-09-08 |
| 10Y ago | $310.34K (+3003.4%) started 2016-09-08 | $12.43K (+24.3%) started 2016-09-08 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SHOP | BABA |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $188.28B | $280.03B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 98.03 | 25.49 |
| Forward P/Ei | 59.15 | 1.81 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 0.27 |
| EV/Revenuei | 13.71 | 0.20 |
| Analyst targeti | $171.15 | $186.12 |
| Target upsidei | +17.96% | +65.21% |
| Metric | SHOP | BABA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 33.70% | 8.60% |
| Earnings growthi | 68.10% | -79.40% |
| EPS growthi | +68.10% | -79.40% |
| FCF margini | +11.97% | -7.91% |
| Operating margini | 17.55% | 7.29% |
| Profit margini | 14.53% | 7.04% |
| ROIC proxyi | 15.54% | 6.36% |
| Return on equityi | 15.54% | 6.36% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 0.93% |
| Betai | 2.62 | 0.50 |
| Debt/equityi | 1.40 | 23.93 |
| Current ratioi | 5.35 | 1.36 |
| Quick ratioi | 3.72 | 0.72 |
Over the past year, SHOP and BABA have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.16), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SHOP | BABA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -8.29% | -19.48% |
| CAGRi | -8.29% | -19.49% | |
| Volatilityi | 58.17% | 43.48% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.06 | -0.39 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.09 | -0.59 | |
| Max drawdowni | 46.71% | 49.47% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.09% | 39.95% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.27% | 24.01% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 25.99% | 27.22% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.62% | 8.57% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 22.56% | 15.43% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -9.26% | -29.87% |
| CAGRi | -1.92% | -6.85% | |
| Volatilityi | 66.57% | 51.52% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.23 | 0.03 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.35 | 0.04 | |
| Max drawdowni | 84.82% | 64.46% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.09% | 39.95% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 48.12% | 39.64% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 53.55% | 42.55% | |
| Max daily dropi | 18.59% | 12.51% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 34.38% | 25.12% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +3003.45% | +16.72% |
| CAGRi | +41.00% | +1.56% | |
| Volatilityi | 59.49% | 43.70% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.80 | 0.15 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 1.20 | 0.23 | |
| Max drawdowni | 84.82% | 80.09% | |
| Current drawdowni | 25.09% | 62.25% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 28.69% | 39.37% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 38.86% | 48.24% | |
| Max daily dropi | 18.59% | 13.34% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 34.38% | 25.12% |
| Category | SHOP | BABA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SHOP | BABA |
| Sector | Technology | N/A |
| Industry | Software - Application | Internet Retail |
| Core business | Shopify Inc., a commerce technology company, provides tools to start, scale, market, and run a business of various sizes in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. | Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internatio… |
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