F vs STLA Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
F and STLA are both legacy automakers trading at low multiples, with different specific problems. Ford's difficulties are electric vehicle losses and unusually high warranty costs, offset by a strong commercial business and its truck franchise. Stellantis' difficulties are a badly handled North American pricing and inventory cycle plus weak European demand, offset by valuable US truck and SUV brands and a very low valuation.
Use this F vs STLA comparison to judge which problem is more fixable. Ford's electric vehicle losses are a strategic choice it can and has adjusted, while warranty costs are an execution issue. Stellantis' inventory and pricing mistake is correctable in a few quarters, but rebuilding brand pricing power and fixing Europe take longer.
STLA holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. F has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+9.29% vs -50.59%), though STLA has the better forward P/E setup (4.23x vs 7.25x for F). STLA leads on both revenue growth (13.10%) and operating margin (2.24%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for STLA (+32.43%) than for F (+13.30%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to a strong commercial vehicle and fleet services business
- Value the truck franchise and the dividend
- Believe electric vehicle losses will narrow as the strategy is scaled back
- Accept concentration in North American trucks and elevated warranty costs
- Want a deeply discounted valuation with recovery potential
- Value Jeep and Ram as franchises in profitable US segments
- Believe the inventory and pricing correction is temporary
- Accept European demand weakness and brand portfolio complexity
| Metric | F | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 41.7 | 26.5 |
| AI ranki | #909 | #2485 |
| Latest closei | $12.71 | $4.60 |
| 1M returni | -8.56% | -10.68% |
| 6M returni | +11.79% | -31.45% |
| 1Y returni | +9.29% | -50.59% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | F | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.94K (+9.4%) started 2025-09-25 | $4.94K (-50.6%) started 2025-09-25 |
| 5Y ago | $15.26K (+52.6%) started 2021-09-27 | $4.51K (-54.9%) started 2021-09-27 |
| 10Y ago | $30.48K (+204.8%) started 2016-09-26 | $31.17K (+211.7%) started 2016-09-26 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | F | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $55.35B | $19.85B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 11.79 | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 7.25 | 4.23 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.05 | 0.23 |
| Analyst targeti | $15.73 | $6.98 |
| Target upsidei | +13.30% | +32.43% |
| Metric | F | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | -3.80% | 13.10% |
| Earnings growthi | 430.80% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | +430.80% | N/A |
| FCF margini | -4.22% | -1.88% |
| Operating margini | 1.88% | 2.24% |
| Profit margini | -3.94% | -12.10% |
| ROIC proxyi | -18.25% | -28.69% |
| Return on equityi | -18.25% | -28.69% |
| Dividend yieldi | 4.32% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 64.10% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.85 | 0.99 |
| Debt/equityi | 456.71 | 84.39 |
| Current ratioi | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.88 | 0.68 |
Over the past year, F and STLA have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.46), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | F | STLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +9.38% | -50.59% |
| CAGRi | +9.39% | -50.61% | |
| Volatilityi | 38.85% | 50.45% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.31 | -1.23 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.50 | -1.54 | |
| Max drawdowni | 27.75% | 63.12% | |
| Current drawdowni | 27.12% | 62.05% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 11.35% | 31.87% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.69% | 37.51% | |
| Max daily dropi | 7.46% | 23.69% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 14.56% | 26.24% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +15.40% | -68.07% |
| CAGRi | +2.91% | -20.44% | |
| Volatilityi | 39.27% | 42.33% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.16 | -0.43 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.22 | -0.59 | |
| Max drawdowni | 56.51% | 82.32% | |
| Current drawdowni | 35.46% | 81.81% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 39.68% | 35.56% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 41.61% | 43.48% | |
| Max daily dropi | 18.36% | 23.69% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 23.30% | 26.24% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +69.10% | +39.36% |
| CAGRi | +5.40% | +3.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.52% | 41.56% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.21 | 0.18 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.30 | 0.25 | |
| Max drawdowni | 64.77% | 82.32% | |
| Current drawdowni | 35.46% | 81.81% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.28% | 29.32% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.73% | 37.12% | |
| Max daily dropi | 18.36% | 23.69% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 23.73% | 36.69% |
| Category | F | STLA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Ford Motor Company | Stellantis N.V. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Auto Manufacturers | Auto Manufacturers |
| Core business | Automaker organised into Ford Blue for combustion vehicles, Model e for electric vehicles, and Ford Pro for commercial vehicles and fleet services, plus Ford Credit. Trucks, particularly the F-Series, generate a disproportionate share of profit. | Multinational automaker formed from Fiat Chrysler and PSA, operating brands including Jeep, Ram, Chrysler, Dodge, Peugeot, Citroën, Fiat, and Opel across North America, Europe, and other markets. |
| Investor focus | Ford Pro profitability, Model e losses and EV strategy adjustments, warranty and recall costs, truck pricing and mix, and dividend sustainability. | North American inventory and pricing correction, European volumes and emissions compliance, brand rationalisation, cost synergies, and capital return. |
- Ford Pro is a genuinely strong commercial business combining vehicles with software and service revenue
- F-Series franchise commands loyalty and pricing power in the most profitable segment of the US market
- Pays a substantial dividend and has flexibility to add supplemental payments in strong years
- Broad brand and geographic portfolio spanning North America and Europe
- Jeep and Ram are valuable franchises in high-margin US segments
- Trades at a notably low multiple, reflecting depressed earnings rather than a broken business
- Electric vehicle operations have lost significant money, requiring repeated strategy changes
- Warranty and recall costs have been persistently high relative to peers
- Heavy dependence on North American trucks concentrates the profit pool
- Overpriced inventory in North America forced heavy discounting and a sharp profit decline
- European operations face weak demand and costly emissions compliance requirements
- Managing many brands stretches capital and engineering resources
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