AWK vs AWR Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare American Water Works' national regulated-water scale against American States Water's smaller California-concentrated footprint.
Use this American Water Works vs American States Water comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
AWK holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. AWR has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+14.61% vs -0.68%), though AWK has the better forward P/E setup (20.97x vs 21.96x for AWR). On fundamentals, AWR is growing revenue faster (11.20%), while AWK maintains the higher operating margin (40.66%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +2.73% for AWK and +0.66% for AWR.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | AWK | AWR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 39.3 | 38.8 |
| AI ranki | #1254 | #1986 |
| Latest closei | $142.75 | $85.44 |
| 1M returni | +7.28% | +2.64% |
| 3M returni | +6.01% | -0.51% |
| 6M returni | +7.80% | +8.98% |
| 1Y returni | -0.68% | +14.61% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AWK | AWR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.01K (+0.1%) started 2025-10-23 | $11.77K (+17.7%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $9.52K (-4.8%) started 2021-10-25 | $11.78K (+17.8%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $27.98K (+179.8%) started 2016-10-24 | $33.81K (+238.1%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AWK | AWR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $27.36B | $3.31B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 23.86 | 22.86 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.97 | 21.96 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 8.18 | 6.03 |
| Analyst targeti | $141.45 | $84.00 |
| Target upsidei | +2.73% | +0.66% |
| Metric | AWK | AWR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.20% | 11.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 8.60% | 25.80% |
| EPS growthi | +8.60% | +25.80% |
| FCF margini | -33.79% | -3.66% |
| Operating margini | 40.66% | 35.76% |
| Profit margini | 21.35% | 20.52% |
| ROIC proxyi | 10.10% | 13.67% |
| Return on equityi | 10.10% | 13.67% |
| Dividend yieldi | 2.60% | 2.61% |
| Payout ratioi | 58.54% | 55.23% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | 11 yrs |
| Betai | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| Debt/equityi | 137.75 | 81.81 |
| Current ratioi | 0.52 | 0.98 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.40 | 0.74 |
Over the past year, AWK and AWR have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.74), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AWK | AWR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +0.12% | +14.61% |
| CAGRi | +0.12% | +14.62% | |
| Volatilityi | 22.89% | 20.57% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.08 | 0.55 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.12 | 0.82 | |
| Max drawdowni | 15.04% | 10.88% | |
| Current drawdowni | 0.34% | 6.21% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.53% | 3.72% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 8.20% | 4.54% | |
| Max daily dropi | 3.55% | 5.07% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.14% | 6.82% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -11.98% | +5.15% |
| CAGRi | -2.52% | +1.01% | |
| Volatilityi | 23.18% | 22.74% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.19 | -0.04 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.27 | -0.06 | |
| Max drawdowni | 37.10% | 32.85% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.80% | 8.29% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 22.42% | 17.01% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 23.42% | 18.35% | |
| Max daily dropi | 5.65% | 9.09% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 14.91% | 10.66% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +133.74% | +172.32% |
| CAGRi | +8.86% | +10.54% | |
| Volatilityi | 23.87% | 26.11% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.29 | 0.34 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.41 | 0.50 | |
| Max drawdowni | 37.10% | 32.85% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.80% | 8.29% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.61% | 12.08% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.18% | 14.68% | |
| Max daily dropi | 12.53% | 14.79% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.95% | 20.58% |
| Category | AWK | AWR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | AWK | AWR |
| Sector | Utilities | Utilities |
| Industry | Utilities - Regulated Water | Utilities - Regulated Water |
| Core business | American Water Works Company, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides water and wastewater services in the United States. | American States Water Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of water and electric services to residential, commercial, industrial, and other customers in the United States. |
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