EL vs COTY Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Estee Lauder's prestige-beauty turnaround against Coty's mass-and-celebrity-fragrance-led growth strategy.
Use this Estee Lauder vs Coty comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
EL holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. EL has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+6.17% vs -43.09%), though COTY has the better forward P/E setup (11.59x vs 26.49x for EL). EL leads on both revenue growth (6.30%) and operating margin (7.00%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for EL (+2.97%) than for COTY (-9.31%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | EL | COTY |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 41.8 | 23.9 |
| AI ranki | #995 | #3517 |
| Latest closei | $93.43 | $2.43 |
| 1M returni | -4.67% | -19.80% |
| 6M returni | +9.15% | +13.02% |
| 1Y returni | +6.17% | -43.09% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | EL | COTY |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.62K (+6.2%) started 2025-09-18 | $5.69K (-43.1%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $3.35K (-66.5%) started 2021-09-20 | $3.02K (-69.8%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $13.26K (+32.6%) started 2016-09-19 | $1.01K (-89.9%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | EL | COTY |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $37.41B | $2.61B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 206.78 | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 26.49 | 11.59 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.87 | 1.03 |
| Analyst targeti | $106.46 | $2.69 |
| Target upsidei | +2.97% | -9.31% |
| Metric | EL | COTY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.30% | 1.30% |
| Earnings growthi | -45.50% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | -45.50% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +12.04% | +6.25% |
| Operating margini | 7.00% | -2.44% |
| Profit margini | 1.21% | -10.42% |
| ROIC proxyi | 4.75% | -16.09% |
| Return on equityi | 4.75% | -16.09% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.35% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 280.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| Debt/equityi | 242.93 | 97.54 |
| Current ratioi | 1.22 | 0.76 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.81 | 0.28 |
Over the past year, EL and COTY have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.48), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | EL | COTY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +6.17% | -43.09% |
| CAGRi | +6.17% | -43.11% | |
| Volatilityi | 48.30% | 49.61% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.28 | -0.98 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.39 | -1.30 | |
| Max drawdowni | 43.79% | 58.43% | |
| Current drawdowni | 21.89% | 45.39% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.02% | 35.99% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 22.55% | 39.21% | |
| Max daily dropi | 19.19% | 15.56% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.75% | 26.24% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -68.25% | -69.78% |
| CAGRi | -20.52% | -21.31% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.39% | 45.12% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.39 | -0.41 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.52 | -0.56 | |
| Max drawdowni | 85.82% | 86.05% | |
| Current drawdowni | 73.53% | 81.67% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 55.49% | 37.09% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 60.28% | 46.08% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.90% | 21.60% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.39% | 26.24% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +18.79% | -89.88% |
| CAGRi | +1.74% | -20.48% | |
| Volatilityi | 37.21% | 55.03% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.11 | -0.22 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.16 | -0.33 | |
| Max drawdowni | 85.82% | 92.63% | |
| Current drawdowni | 73.53% | 90.32% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.67% | 60.34% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 43.03% | 63.56% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.90% | 31.38% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.39% | 49.73% |
| Category | EL | COTY |
|---|---|---|
| Company | EL | COTY |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Household & Personal Products | Household & Personal Products |
| Core business | The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. | Coty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells branded beauty products in the United States and internationally. |
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