OLPX vs EL Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Olaplex's smaller, brand-concentrated hair-care turnaround against Estee Lauder's broad prestige-beauty portfolio recovery.
Use this Olaplex Holdings vs Estee Lauder comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
EL holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. EL leads on both revenue growth (6.30%) and operating margin (7.00%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for EL (+2.97%) than for OLPX (-1.93%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | OLPX | EL |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 24.0 | 41.8 |
| AI ranki | #3471 | #995 |
| Latest closei | $2.07 | $93.43 |
| 1M returni | N/A | -4.67% |
| 6M returni | N/A | +9.15% |
| 1Y returni | N/A | +6.17% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | OLPX | EL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | N/A | $10.62K (+6.2%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | N/A | $3.35K (-66.5%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | N/A | $13.26K (+32.6%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | OLPX | EL |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.39B | $37.41B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 206.78 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.28 | 26.49 |
| Price/Salesi | 3.27 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.33 | 2.87 |
| Analyst targeti | $2.03 | $106.46 |
| Target upsidei | -1.93% | +2.97% |
| Metric | OLPX | EL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 2.50% | 6.30% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | -45.50% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | -45.50% |
| FCF margini | +15.37% | +12.04% |
| Operating margini | -5.14% | 7.00% |
| Profit margini | -3.53% | 1.21% |
| ROIC proxyi | -1.71% | 4.75% |
| Return on equityi | -1.71% | 4.75% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 1.35% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 280.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.84 | 1.25 |
| Debt/equityi | 40.15 | 242.93 |
| Current ratioi | 6.27 | 1.22 |
| Quick ratioi | 5.11 | 0.81 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | OLPX | EL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | N/A | +6.17% |
| CAGRi | N/A | +6.17% | |
| Volatilityi | N/A | 48.30% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | N/A | 0.28 | |
| Sortino ratioi | N/A | 0.39 | |
| Max drawdowni | N/A | 43.79% | |
| Current drawdowni | N/A | 21.89% | |
| Avg drawdowni | N/A | 18.02% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | N/A | 22.55% | |
| Max daily dropi | N/A | 19.19% | |
| Max wkly dropi | N/A | 21.75% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | N/A | -68.25% |
| CAGRi | N/A | -20.52% | |
| Volatilityi | N/A | 44.39% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | N/A | -0.39 | |
| Sortino ratioi | N/A | -0.52 | |
| Max drawdowni | N/A | 85.82% | |
| Current drawdowni | N/A | 73.53% | |
| Avg drawdowni | N/A | 55.49% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | N/A | 60.28% | |
| Max daily dropi | N/A | 20.90% | |
| Max wkly dropi | N/A | 27.39% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | N/A | +18.79% |
| CAGRi | N/A | +1.74% | |
| Volatilityi | N/A | 37.21% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | N/A | 0.11 | |
| Sortino ratioi | N/A | 0.16 | |
| Max drawdowni | N/A | 85.82% | |
| Current drawdowni | N/A | 73.53% | |
| Avg drawdowni | N/A | 30.67% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | N/A | 43.03% | |
| Max daily dropi | N/A | 20.90% | |
| Max wkly dropi | N/A | 27.39% |
| Category | OLPX | EL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | OLPX | EL |
| Sector | N/A | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Specialty Retail | Household & Personal Products |
| Core business | Olaplex Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells haircare products in the United States and internationally. | The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. |
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