LIVE
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$117.41
-1.15% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
PTON
Peloton Interactive, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$6.14
+10.72% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
LULU
2
PTON
2
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUPAI Score
LULU ✓36.4
PTON 23.3
1Y Return
LULU -48.70%
PTON ✓-4.58%
Fwd P/E
LULU ✓10.30
PTON 24.98
Target Up.
LULU +11.28%
PTON ✓+31.71%
Op. Margin
LULU N/A
PTON N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 7/14/2026
Quick take
LULU vs PTON: Lululemon vs Peloton Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Lululemon is a premium athleisure brand with durable consumer loyalty, international growth, and strong operating margins, while Peloton is a connected fitness company struggling to stabilize subscribers and hardware demand after its COVID peak collapsed. Lululemon is a well-positioned growth compounder; Peloton is a distressed turnaround.
LULU vs PTON is a premium athleisure brand compounder with international expansion versus a connected fitness turnaround from post-COVID collapse — Lululemon wins if China and men's categories sustain organic growth; Peloton wins if hardware rental and B2B partnerships stabilize subscribers toward free cash flow.
Live analysis · updated 7/14/2026
LULU and PTON are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. PTON has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-4.58% vs -48.70%), though LULU has the better forward P/E setup (10.30x vs 24.98x for PTON). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for PTON (+31.71%) than for LULU (+11.28%).
Normalized 1Y performance
LULU
PTON
Recent returns
LULU
PTON
Analyst price targets & sentiment
LULU · 26 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Hold (3.1/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$88.00
analyst high$280.00
analyst mean$130.65
current price$117.41
+11.3% upside to analyst mean
PTON · 16 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$4.00
analyst high$20.00
analyst mean$8.09
current price$6.14
+31.7% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
LULU may suit investors who:
- →want premium athleisure brand exposure with China expansion as a meaningful incremental growth driver
- →value Lululemon's intense customer loyalty and high repeat purchase rates as durable competitive moats
- →believe men's and footwear categories expand Lululemon's TAM significantly beyond its women's leggings origin
- →prefer a profitable, growing consumer brand over Peloton's turnaround uncertainty
PTON may suit investors who:
- →want distressed connected fitness exposure at a fraction of its COVID peak valuation
- →believe Peloton's loyal subscriber base and content library have real residual asset value
- →are comfortable with high execution risk on hardware and subscriber stabilization
- →think B2B partnerships (hotels, corporate wellness, rental) can unlock a more sustainable growth model
Performance & AI score
| Metric | LULU | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 36.4 | 23.3 |
| AI rank | #1565 | #3680 |
| Latest close | $117.41 | $6.14 |
| 1M return | -1.15% | +10.72% |
| 6M return | -43.83% | -7.03% |
| 1Y return | -48.70% | -4.58% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | LULU | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $5.13K (-48.7%) started 2025-07-14 | $9.54K (-4.6%) started 2025-07-14 |
| 5Y ago | $3.11K (-68.9%) started 2021-07-14 | $542.08 (-94.6%) started 2021-07-14 |
| 10Y ago | $15.17K (+51.7%) started 2016-07-14 | $2.39K (-76.1%) started 2019-09-26 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | LULU | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $13.33B | $2.66B |
| Trailing P/E | 9.42 | 102.42 |
| Forward P/E | 10.30 | 24.98 |
| Price/Sales | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| EV/Revenue | 1.27 | 1.32 |
| Analyst target | $130.65 | $8.09 |
| Target upside | +11.28% | +31.71% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | LULU | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 4.30% | 1.10% |
| Earnings growth | -35.00% | N/A |
| EPS growth | -35.00% | N/A |
| FCF margin | +10.12% | +16.28% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | 13.03% | 0.95% |
| ROIC proxy | 32.03% | N/A |
| Return on equity | 32.03% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.88 | 2.53 |
| Debt/equity | 44.26 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 2.23 | 2.49 |
| Quick ratio | 0.94 | 2.08 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
LULU max drawdown54.81%
PTON max drawdown58.78%
LULU max wkly drop19.56%
PTON max wkly drop26.90%
5Y risk snapshot
LULU max drawdown79.38%
PTON max drawdown97.72%
LULU max wkly drop25.32%
PTON max wkly drop45.55%
10Y risk snapshot
LULU max drawdown79.38%
PTON max drawdown98.28%
LULU max wkly drop30.43%
PTON max wkly drop45.55%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | LULU | PTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -48.70% | -4.58% |
| CAGR | -48.73% | -4.58% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.35 | 0.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 54.81% | 58.78% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.58% | 25.72% | |
| Max wkly drop | 19.56% | 26.90% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -68.86% | -94.58% |
| CAGR | -20.81% | -44.18% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.44 | -0.30 | |
| Max drawdown | 79.38% | 97.72% | |
| Max daily drop | 19.80% | 35.35% | |
| Max wkly drop | 25.32% | 45.55% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +51.65% | -76.15% |
| CAGR | +4.25% | -19.01% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.20 | 0.10 | |
| Max drawdown | 79.38% | 98.28% | |
| Max daily drop | 23.44% | 35.35% | |
| Max wkly drop | 30.43% | 45.55% |
Business comparison
| Category | LULU | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Lululemon Athletica Inc. | Peloton Interactive, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Discretionary |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Premium athleisure retailer known for high-quality yoga and athletic apparel, accessories, and footwear. Lululemon's ambassador and community marketing model builds brand loyalty through local fitness studios and instructors. | Connected fitness company with Peloton Bike, Bike+, Tread, and Row fitness equipment paired with a subscription platform offering live and on-demand fitness classes. Peloton experienced explosive COVID growth followed by significant restructuring. |
| Investor focus | International expansion (China especially), men's and accessories category growth, comparable-store sales after US growth maturation, and operating margin. | Subscriber count stabilization and retention, hardware business model transition (rentals/partnerships vs direct sales), operating cost reduction, and path to free cash flow. |
LULU strengths
- →Lululemon's premium brand and product quality create intense customer loyalty and high repeat purchase rates
- →China expansion is in early innings — a large untapped premium athleisure market for Lululemon's brand
- →Men's and shoes categories provide significant incremental revenue growth alongside the core women's leggings business
PTON strengths
- →Peloton's premium subscriber base has strong retention once the habit is formed — NPS scores remain high among loyal users
- →Content library of 100,000+ classes is a significant asset that attracts subscribers who value instructors and community
- →Rental model (Peloton One) reduces the upfront hardware cost barrier that deterred mass adoption
Risks to watch — LULU
- →US comp sales growth has slowed as the domestic athleisure market matures and Lululemon's penetration increases
- →Premium athleisure competition from Nike, Alo Yoga, Vuori, and Athleta has intensified in the past few years
- →China execution risk — retail expansion in China requires significant investment and Chinese consumer preference shifts
Risks to watch — PTON
- →Peloton went from explosive growth to existential crisis — hardware demand collapsed post-COVID as gyms reopened
- →Connected subscriber count has declined significantly — recovering subscriber growth requires either hardware sales recovery or aggressive B2B partnerships
- →Free cash flow breakeven has been elusive — Peloton has required multiple capital raises and debt restructuring since its COVID peak
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