MPC vs VLO Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
MPC holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. VLO has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+147.57% vs +118.87%), though MPC has the better forward P/E setup (10.04x vs 10.76x for VLO). MPC leads on both revenue growth (53.70%) and operating margin (13.56%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +6.17% for MPC and +3.85% for VLO.
| Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 71.7 | 66.2 |
| AI rank | #34 | #65 |
| Latest close | $348.25 | $330.21 |
| 1M return | +17.30% | +11.64% |
| 6M return | +66.91% | +61.93% |
| 1Y return | +118.87% | +147.57% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $21.53K (+115.3%) started 2025-08-13 | $24.25K (+142.5%) started 2025-08-13 |
| 5Y ago | $72.28K (+622.8%) started 2021-08-16 | $65.85K (+558.5%) started 2021-08-16 |
| 10Y ago | $152.91K (+1429.1%) started 2016-08-15 | $131.08K (+1210.8%) started 2016-08-15 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $83.74B | $85.89B |
| Trailing P/E | 10.34 | 12.44 |
| Forward P/E | 10.04 | 10.76 |
| Price/Sales | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Analyst target | $316.61 | $309.79 |
| Target upside | +6.17% | +3.85% |
| Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 53.70% | 51.70% |
| Earnings growth | 348.00% | 453.50% |
| EPS growth | +348.00% | +453.50% |
| FCF margin | +6.00% | +6.36% |
| Operating margin | 13.56% | 12.27% |
| Profit margin | 5.55% | 5.45% |
| ROIC proxy | 42.10% | 27.64% |
| Return on equity | 42.10% | 27.64% |
| Dividend yield | 1.34% | 1.61% |
| Beta | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| Debt/equity | 133.33 | 40.15 |
| Current ratio | 1.25 | 1.64 |
| Quick ratio | 0.86 | 1.05 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +115.33% | +142.53% |
| CAGR | +115.64% | +142.94% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 2.30 | 2.52 | |
| Max drawdown | 18.74% | 12.67% | |
| Max daily drop | 6.13% | 7.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 11.18% | 8.67% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +555.06% | +480.13% |
| CAGR | +45.72% | +42.22% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.17 | 1.02 | |
| Max drawdown | 44.75% | 41.22% | |
| Max daily drop | 13.06% | 14.47% | |
| Max wkly drop | 19.43% | 21.35% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +1007.94% | +762.95% |
| CAGR | +27.21% | +24.07% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.69 | 0.62 | |
| Max drawdown | 79.67% | 71.88% | |
| Max daily drop | 27.01% | 19.22% | |
| Max wkly drop | 46.59% | 35.65% |
| Category | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MPC | VLO |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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