CRI vs GAP Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Carter's children's-apparel brand concentration against Gap's multi-brand portfolio and Old Navy-led turnaround.
Use this Carter's vs Gap Inc. comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
CRI holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CRI has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+6.18% vs -8.65%), though GAP has the better forward P/E setup (8.40x vs 8.98x for CRI). CRI leads on both revenue growth (5.20%) and operating margin (23.68%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CRI (+30.73%) than for GAP (+20.72%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 25.2 | 27.0 |
| AI ranki | #2899 | #2498 |
| Latest closei | $30.50 | $20.92 |
| 1M returni | -20.62% | +1.55% |
| 6M returni | -11.76% | -10.37% |
| 1Y returni | +6.18% | -8.65% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.33K (+3.3%) started 2025-09-15 | $8.75K (-12.5%) started 2025-09-15 |
| 5Y ago | $4.69K (-53.1%) started 2021-09-14 | $8.78K (-12.2%) started 2021-09-15 |
| 10Y ago | $5.74K (-42.6%) started 2016-09-14 | $8.88K (-11.2%) started 2016-09-15 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.2B | $7.78B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 6.09 | 6.67 |
| Forward P/Ei | 8.98 | 8.40 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| Analyst targeti | $42.67 | $26.74 |
| Target upsidei | +30.73% | +20.72% |
| Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 5.20% | -2.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 47146.40% | 142.10% |
| EPS growthi | +47146.40% | +142.10% |
| FCF margini | +8.28% | +1.61% |
| Operating margini | 23.68% | 6.71% |
| Profit margini | 6.55% | 8.14% |
| ROIC proxyi | 20.74% | 33.78% |
| Return on equityi | 20.74% | 33.78% |
| Dividend yieldi | 3.13% | 3.18% |
| Payout ratioi | 18.66% | 20.48% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 0.85 | 2.05 |
| Debt/equityi | 115.33 | 144.77 |
| Current ratioi | 2.47 | 1.82 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.38 | 0.77 |
Over the past year, CRI and GAP have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.40), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +0.25% | -12.54% |
| CAGRi | +0.26% | -12.57% | |
| Volatilityi | 48.96% | 46.51% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.16 | -0.15 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.22 | -0.21 | |
| Max drawdowni | 30.46% | 37.01% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.75% | 28.18% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 10.51% | 15.08% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 13.21% | 18.76% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.25% | 15.40% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.39% | 18.83% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -62.42% | -12.21% |
| CAGRi | -17.78% | -2.57% | |
| Volatilityi | 41.62% | 55.67% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.37 | 0.15 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.49 | 0.22 | |
| Max drawdowni | 74.61% | 70.90% | |
| Current drawdowni | 65.94% | 28.18% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 38.34% | 33.19% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 42.69% | 38.40% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.25% | 24.12% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.32% | 32.03% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -58.10% | -11.24% |
| CAGRi | -8.33% | -1.19% | |
| Volatilityi | 38.23% | 55.50% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.15 | 0.17 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.21 | 0.26 | |
| Max drawdowni | 76.09% | 84.50% | |
| Current drawdowni | 67.93% | 42.42% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.19% | 39.64% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 34.89% | 44.78% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.25% | 24.12% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.32% | 34.91% |
| Category | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CRI | GAP |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Apparel Retail | Apparel Retail |
| Core business | Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. | The Gap, Inc. operates as an apparel retail company in the United States, Canada, Japan, Taiwan, and internationally. |
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