CRI vs GAP Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Carter's children's-apparel brand concentration against Gap's multi-brand portfolio and Old Navy-led turnaround.
Use this Carter's vs Gap Inc. comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
CRI holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CRI has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+1.47% vs -6.11%), though GAP has the better forward P/E setup (8.40x vs 8.98x for CRI). CRI leads on both revenue growth (5.20%) and operating margin (23.68%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CRI (+30.73%) than for GAP (+20.72%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 25.3 | 27.0 |
| AI ranki | #2759 | #2406 |
| Latest closei | $31.54 | $22.89 |
| 1M returni | +0.73% | -2.76% |
| 3M returni | -17.59% | +12.32% |
| 6M returni | -5.07% | -6.91% |
| 1Y returni | +1.47% | -6.11% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.46K (+4.6%) started 2025-10-30 | $9.66K (-3.4%) started 2025-10-29 |
| 5Y ago | $4.73K (-52.7%) started 2021-11-01 | $10.09K (+0.9%) started 2021-10-29 |
| 10Y ago | $6.59K (-34.1%) started 2016-10-31 | $8.3K (-17.0%) started 2016-10-31 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.2B | $7.78B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 6.09 | 6.67 |
| Forward P/Ei | 8.98 | 8.40 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| Analyst targeti | $42.67 | $26.74 |
| Target upsidei | +30.73% | +20.72% |
| Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 5.20% | -2.00% |
| Earnings growthi | 47146.40% | 142.10% |
| EPS growthi | +47146.40% | +142.10% |
| FCF margini | +8.28% | +1.61% |
| Operating margini | 23.68% | 6.71% |
| Profit margini | 6.55% | 8.14% |
| ROIC proxyi | 20.74% | 33.78% |
| Return on equityi | 20.74% | 33.78% |
| Dividend yieldi | 3.13% | 3.18% |
| Payout ratioi | 16.53% | 20.48% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 0.85 | 2.05 |
| Debt/equityi | 115.33 | 144.77 |
| Current ratioi | 2.47 | 1.82 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.38 | 0.77 |
Over the past year, CRI and GAP have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.44), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +1.47% | -3.38% |
| CAGRi | +1.47% | -3.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 48.75% | 46.09% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.19 | 0.06 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.26 | 0.08 | |
| Max drawdowni | 33.14% | 37.01% | |
| Current drawdowni | 27.35% | 21.42% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.37% | 16.85% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.39% | 20.20% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.25% | 15.40% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.39% | 18.83% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -62.12% | +0.88% |
| CAGRi | -17.67% | +0.18% | |
| Volatilityi | 42.03% | 55.54% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.36 | 0.20 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.48 | 0.29 | |
| Max drawdowni | 74.61% | 70.90% | |
| Current drawdowni | 64.78% | 21.42% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 40.02% | 33.63% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 44.00% | 38.56% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.25% | 24.12% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.32% | 32.03% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -51.87% | -17.04% |
| CAGRi | -7.05% | -1.85% | |
| Volatilityi | 38.55% | 55.38% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.11 | 0.16 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.15 | 0.24 | |
| Max drawdowni | 76.09% | 84.50% | |
| Current drawdowni | 66.83% | 36.99% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.72% | 40.09% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 35.67% | 44.99% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.25% | 24.12% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 27.32% | 34.91% |
| Category | CRI | GAP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CRI | GAP |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Apparel Retail | Apparel Retail |
| Core business | Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally. | The Gap, Inc. operates as an apparel retail company in the United States, Canada, Japan, Taiwan, and internationally. |
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