META vs MTCH Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Meta's multi-billion-user platform economics against Match Group's Tinder/Hinge portfolio and its slower user growth.
Use this Meta vs Match Group comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
META holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. MTCH leads on both 1-year return (+37.87%) and forward P/E quality (9.08x vs 19.04x for META), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. META leads on both revenue growth (28.00%) and operating margin (34.83%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for META (+13.45%) than for MTCH (+0.73%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | META | MTCH |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 52.8 | 38.2 |
| AI ranki | #305 | #1373 |
| Latest closei | $642.62 | $45.73 |
| 1M returni | -13.64% | +12.97% |
| 3M returni | +7.97% | +20.63% |
| 6M returni | -4.80% | +24.44% |
| 1Y returni | -12.38% | +37.87% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | META | MTCH |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.76K (-12.4%) started 2025-10-23 | $13.96K (+39.6%) started 2025-10-23 |
| 5Y ago | $19.74K (+97.4%) started 2021-10-25 | $2.79K (-72.1%) started 2021-10-25 |
| 10Y ago | $48.67K (+386.7%) started 2016-10-24 | $26.72K (+167.2%) started 2016-10-24 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | META | MTCH |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.7T | $9.7B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 25.07 | 14.64 |
| Forward P/Ei | 19.04 | 9.08 |
| Price/Salesi | 10.30 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 7.53 | 3.60 |
| Analyst targeti | $755.28 | $41.88 |
| Target upsidei | +13.45% | +0.73% |
| Metric | META | MTCH |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 28.00% | -1.20% |
| Earnings growthi | -13.40% | 50.40% |
| EPS growthi | -13.40% | +50.40% |
| FCF margini | +9.44% | +26.52% |
| Operating margini | 34.83% | 28.77% |
| Profit margini | 29.83% | 20.17% |
| ROIC proxyi | 29.85% | N/A |
| Return on equityi | 29.85% | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.32% | 1.92% |
| Payout ratioi | 7.16% | 27.66% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Debt/equityi | 43.00 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 2.23 | 1.72 |
| Quick ratioi | 1.99 | 1.56 |
Over the past year, META and MTCH have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.23), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | META | MTCH |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -12.45% | +39.63% |
| CAGRi | -12.47% | +39.70% | |
| Volatilityi | 42.57% | 32.18% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.21 | 1.06 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.30 | 1.56 | |
| Max drawdowni | 30.06% | 16.28% | |
| Current drawdowni | 17.36% | 1.72% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.61% | 5.55% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 16.84% | 6.87% | |
| Max daily dropi | 11.33% | 8.37% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 16.52% | 10.77% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +96.43% | -72.40% |
| CAGRi | +14.47% | -22.72% | |
| Volatilityi | 45.39% | 43.74% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.43 | -0.47 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.62 | -0.65 | |
| Max drawdowni | 74.42% | 83.68% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.66% | 72.40% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 20.95% | 71.61% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 28.67% | 73.40% | |
| Max daily dropi | 26.39% | 17.87% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 30.98% | 20.58% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +384.43% | +150.76% |
| CAGRi | +17.10% | +9.63% | |
| Volatilityi | 39.65% | 45.67% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.49 | 0.33 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.70 | 0.49 | |
| Max drawdowni | 76.74% | 84.42% | |
| Current drawdowni | 18.66% | 73.64% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 16.77% | 41.42% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 24.19% | 53.46% | |
| Max daily dropi | 26.39% | 22.09% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 30.98% | 24.87% |
| Category | META | MTCH |
|---|---|---|
| Company | META | MTCH |
| Sector | Communication Services | Communication Services |
| Industry | Internet Content & Information | Internet Content & Information |
| Core business | Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in th… | Match Group, Inc. provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. |
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Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
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