AVAV vs LMT Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare AeroVironment's fast-growing drone business against Lockheed Martin's scale, backlog, and dividend profile.
Use this AeroVironment vs Lockheed Martin comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
LMT holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. LMT leads on both 1-year return (+12.72%) and forward P/E quality (17.23x vs 32.88x for AVAV), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. LMT leads on both revenue growth (10.50%) and operating margin (11.96%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for AVAV (+52.95%) than for LMT (+12.25%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | AVAV | LMT |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 52.3 | 52.4 |
| AI ranki | #399 | #393 |
| Latest closei | $156.99 | $533.46 |
| 1M returni | -18.58% | -12.36% |
| 6M returni | -29.45% | -16.17% |
| 1Y returni | -37.46% | +12.72% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AVAV | LMT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.25K (-37.5%) started 2025-09-15 | $11.25K (+12.5%) started 2025-09-16 |
| 5Y ago | $17.87K (+78.7%) started 2021-09-15 | $18.96K (+89.6%) started 2021-09-17 |
| 10Y ago | $66.72K (+567.2%) started 2016-09-15 | $35.62K (+256.2%) started 2016-09-19 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AVAV | LMT |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $7.46B | $130.13B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 20.79 |
| Forward P/Ei | 32.88 | 17.23 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 1.57 |
| EV/Revenuei | 3.84 | 1.91 |
| Analyst targeti | $224.40 | $632.95 |
| Target upsidei | +52.95% | +12.25% |
| Metric | AVAV | LMT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 5.70% | 10.50% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | 443.80% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | +443.80% |
| FCF margini | -1.29% | +7.22% |
| Operating margini | -2.27% | 11.96% |
| Profit margini | -10.13% | 8.16% |
| ROIC proxyi | -4.60% | 89.17% |
| Return on equityi | -4.60% | 89.17% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 2.45% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 50.33% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.41 | 0.11 |
| Debt/equityi | 19.35 | 234.24 |
| Current ratioi | 4.26 | 1.19 |
| Quick ratioi | 3.19 | 0.97 |
Over the past year, AVAV and LMT have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.36), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AVAV | LMT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -37.46% | +12.47% |
| CAGRi | -37.48% | +12.49% | |
| Volatilityi | 76.10% | 28.35% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.30 | 0.40 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.42 | 0.61 | |
| Max drawdowni | 66.65% | 27.35% | |
| Current drawdowni | 61.69% | 21.17% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 41.14% | 11.18% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 46.01% | 14.23% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.42% | 4.82% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 24.26% | 13.30% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +78.72% | +71.89% |
| CAGRi | +12.32% | +11.45% | |
| Volatilityi | 58.08% | 24.08% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.41 | 0.39 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.62 | 0.54 | |
| Max drawdowni | 66.65% | 32.26% | |
| Current drawdowni | 61.69% | 21.17% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 21.47% | 11.23% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 27.43% | 14.02% | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.48% | 11.80% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.21% | 13.30% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +567.19% | +177.14% |
| CAGRi | +20.90% | +10.74% | |
| Volatilityi | 53.08% | 24.32% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.54 | 0.36 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.83 | 0.50 | |
| Max drawdowni | 66.65% | 36.67% | |
| Current drawdowni | 61.69% | 21.17% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 27.15% | 10.07% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.52% | 12.80% | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.48% | 12.76% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 28.21% | 19.06% |
| Category | AVAV | LMT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | AVAV | LMT |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Core business | AeroVironment, Inc., a defense technology provider, designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and… | Lockheed Martin Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services in the United States,… |
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