GPC vs ORLY Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Genuine Parts' industrial-and-automotive distribution diversification against O'Reilly's DIY-and-professional retail focus.
Use this Genuine Parts Company vs O'Reilly Automotive comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
ORLY holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. GPC leads on both 1-year return (-5.71%) and forward P/E quality (16.56x vs 24.24x for ORLY), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. ORLY leads on both revenue growth (8.10%) and operating margin (20.15%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for ORLY (+21.81%) than for GPC (+2.08%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | GPC | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 38.4 | 51.3 |
| AI ranki | #1383 | #467 |
| Latest closei | $133.21 | $87.22 |
| 1M returni | -1.35% | -4.21% |
| 6M returni | +28.07% | -3.58% |
| 1Y returni | -5.71% | -18.87% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | GPC | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.58K (-4.2%) started 2025-09-15 | $8.21K (-17.9%) started 2025-09-15 |
| 5Y ago | $12.98K (+29.8%) started 2021-09-16 | $21.56K (+115.6%) started 2021-09-16 |
| 10Y ago | $23.04K (+130.4%) started 2016-09-16 | $47.98K (+379.8%) started 2016-09-16 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | GPC | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $18.96B | $71.59B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 550.04 | 28.10 |
| Forward P/Ei | 16.56 | 24.24 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 4.65 |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.00 | 4.36 |
| Analyst targeti | $140.38 | $107.80 |
| Target upsidei | +2.08% | +21.81% |
| Metric | GPC | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 6.00% | 8.10% |
| Earnings growthi | -9.80% | 10.30% |
| EPS growthi | -9.80% | +10.30% |
| FCF margini | +3.66% | +8.46% |
| Operating margini | 6.56% | 20.15% |
| Profit margini | 0.13% | 14.27% |
| ROIC proxyi | 0.71% | N/A |
| Return on equityi | 0.71% | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | 3.09% | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 1674.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 0.65 | 0.52 |
| Debt/equityi | 146.41 | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 1.16 | 0.75 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.42 | 0.09 |
Over the past year, GPC and ORLY have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.39), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | GPC | ORLY |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -4.19% | -17.95% |
| CAGRi | -4.20% | -17.98% | |
| Volatilityi | 32.77% | 25.53% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.10 | -0.83 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.15 | -1.15 | |
| Max drawdowni | 38.05% | 23.26% | |
| Current drawdowni | 10.75% | 19.10% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.70% | 13.13% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 19.23% | 14.03% | |
| Max daily dropi | 14.56% | 6.66% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.07% | 8.17% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +17.77% | +115.58% |
| CAGRi | +3.33% | +16.62% | |
| Volatilityi | 28.03% | 23.37% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.10 | 0.59 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.13 | 0.82 | |
| Max drawdowni | 47.44% | 23.27% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.28% | 19.11% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 18.84% | 6.25% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 22.30% | 8.45% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.97% | 12.62% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.25% | 15.51% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +75.08% | +379.79% |
| CAGRi | +5.76% | +16.99% | |
| Volatilityi | 28.68% | 26.86% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | 0.55 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.25 | 0.78 | |
| Max drawdowni | 54.89% | 42.00% | |
| Current drawdowni | 24.28% | 19.11% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.50% | 7.23% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.18% | 10.31% | |
| Max daily dropi | 20.97% | 18.89% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 30.18% | 25.55% |
| Category | GPC | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| Company | GPC | ORLY |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Auto Parts | Auto Parts |
| Core business | Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts. | O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and… |
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