PSX vs VLO Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Phillips 66 and Valero by refining throughput capacity, midstream and chemicals diversification, crack spread sensitivity, renewable diesel investment, and which downstream energy company offers better cycle exposure.
Use this Phillips 66 vs Valero Energy comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
VLO holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. VLO has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+115.55% vs +66.32%), though PSX has the better forward P/E setup (11.48x vs 13.89x for VLO). On fundamentals, PSX is growing revenue faster (6.90%), while VLO maintains the higher operating margin (6.05%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for PSX (-4.07%) than for VLO (-10.76%).
| Metric | PSX | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 51.0 | 62.1 |
| AI rank | #443 | #176 |
| Latest close | $206.77 | $302.50 |
| 1M return | +22.61% | +24.78% |
| 6M return | +46.09% | +61.69% |
| 1Y return | +66.32% | +115.55% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | PSX | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $16.55K (+65.5%) started 2025-07-25 | $21.31K (+113.1%) started 2025-07-25 |
| 5Y ago | $38.45K (+284.5%) started 2021-07-26 | $61.3K (+513.0%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $58.68K (+486.8%) started 2016-07-25 | $133.79K (+1237.9%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | PSX | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $82.94B | $91.95B |
| Trailing P/E | 20.44 | 22.62 |
| Forward P/E | 11.48 | 13.89 |
| Price/Sales | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Analyst target | $198.44 | $276.33 |
| Target upside | -4.07% | -10.76% |
| Metric | PSX | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 6.90% | 6.60% |
| Earnings growth | -56.80% | 317.90% |
| EPS growth | -56.80% | +317.90% |
| FCF margin | -0.84% | +4.06% |
| Operating margin | 0.64% | 6.05% |
| Profit margin | 3.07% | 3.57% |
| ROIC proxy | 14.55% | 15.85% |
| Return on equity | 14.55% | 15.85% |
| Dividend yield | 2.46% | 1.55% |
| Beta | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| Debt/equity | 91.39 | 42.66 |
| Current ratio | 1.13 | 1.58 |
| Quick ratio | 0.70 | 1.08 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | PSX | VLO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +65.46% | +113.07% |
| CAGR | +65.70% | +113.54% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.67 | 2.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 17.28% | 12.67% | |
| Max daily drop | 6.88% | 7.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 9.97% | 8.67% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +224.90% | +430.88% |
| CAGR | +26.60% | +39.67% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.75 | 0.97 | |
| Max drawdown | 44.37% | 41.22% | |
| Max daily drop | 13.61% | 14.47% | |
| Max wkly drop | 25.32% | 21.35% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +291.06% | +766.63% |
| CAGR | +14.61% | +24.11% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.44 | 0.62 | |
| Max drawdown | 64.21% | 71.88% | |
| Max daily drop | 15.87% | 19.22% | |
| Max wkly drop | 35.54% | 35.65% |
| Category | PSX | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | PSX | VLO |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.