SPCX vs VSAT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
SpaceX is evaluated as the dominant, well-capitalized leader in launch and low-earth-orbit broadband, while Viasat is assessed as a legacy geostationary satellite operator carrying elevated debt and facing direct competitive pressure from Starlink itself. The comparison highlights an industry leader against an incumbent under competitive and balance-sheet strain.
Use this comparison to weigh SpaceX's scale and growth against Viasat's turnaround-dependent profile as it competes directly with SpaceX's own Starlink business.
SPCX holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. SPCX leads on both 3-month return (+13.36%) and forward P/E quality (87.68x vs 432.05x for VSAT), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, SPCX is growing revenue faster (91.90%), while VSAT maintains the higher operating margin (4.44%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for SPCX (+58.00%) than for VSAT (+44.34%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Want exposure to the dominant satellite broadband and launch provider
- Believe Starlink's growth trajectory will continue pressuring legacy satellite operators
- Are comfortable paying a premium valuation for market leadership
- See long-term value in vertically integrated space infrastructure
- Are willing to bet on a leveraged turnaround story at a depressed valuation
- Believe Viasat's aviation and government niches can defend against Starlink competition
- Want exposure to combined Viasat-Inmarsat global coverage assets
- Can tolerate higher balance sheet and execution risk
| Metric | SPCX | VSAT |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 32.3 | 27.9 |
| AI ranki | N/A | #2262 |
| Latest closei | $148.62 | $61.50 |
| 1M returni | +3.58% | -12.90% |
| 3M returni | +13.36% | -10.49% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SPCX | VSAT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.23K (-7.7%) started 2026-06-12 | $16.85K (+68.5%) started 2025-10-15 |
| 5Y ago | $9.23K (-7.7%) started 2026-06-12 | $11.15K (+11.5%) started 2021-10-15 |
| 10Y ago | $9.23K (-7.7%) started 2026-06-12 | $8.47K (-15.3%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SPCX | VSAT |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.85T | $9.92B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | N/A |
| Forward P/Ei | 87.68 | 432.05 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 160.10 | 3.28 |
| Analyst targeti | $222.32 | $103.94 |
| Target upsidei | +58.00% | +44.34% |
| Metric | SPCX | VSAT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 91.90% | -1.20% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growthi | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margini | N/A | +5.41% |
| Operating margini | -1.80% | 4.44% |
| Profit margini | -35.66% | -0.64% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | 0.19% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | 0.19% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 0.00% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | N/A | 1.76 |
| Debt/equityi | 31.21 | 146.81 |
| Current ratioi | 5.12 | 1.68 |
| Quick ratioi | 4.95 | 1.34 |
Over the past year, SPCX and VSAT have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.24), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SPCX | VSAT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -7.66% | +68.54% |
| CAGRi | -20.78% | +68.60% | |
| Volatilityi | 83.26% | 79.62% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.99 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 1.61 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 31.52% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.69% | 31.52% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.74% | 10.82% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.25% | 13.75% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 13.21% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 19.01% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -7.66% | +11.47% |
| CAGRi | -20.78% | +2.20% | |
| Volatilityi | 83.26% | 78.03% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.35 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 0.55 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 89.81% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.69% | 31.52% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.74% | 52.94% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.25% | 57.83% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 28.48% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 31.00% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -7.66% | -15.28% |
| CAGRi | -20.78% | -1.65% | |
| Volatilityi | 83.26% | 62.68% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.21 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 0.32 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 92.75% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.69% | 34.75% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 30.74% | 46.98% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 32.25% | 53.83% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 28.48% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 37.81% |
| Category | SPCX | VSAT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SpaceX | Viasat, Inc. |
| Sector | Industrials | Technology |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Communication Equipment |
| Core business | SpaceX builds and launches reusable rockets and operates the Starlink satellite internet constellation, alongside Starship development for deep-space missions. | Viasat provides satellite and terrestrial broadband, in-flight connectivity, and government communications services using a mix of geostationary satellites and the acquired Inmarsat network. |
| Investor focus | Investors focus on Starlink subscriber growth, launch cadence and reusability economics, and progress toward Starship's commercial viability. | Investors track debt reduction progress after the Inmarsat acquisition, in-flight connectivity contract wins, and competitive pressure from low-earth-orbit entrants like Starlink. |
- Dominant share of global commercial launch capacity
- Starlink is the largest satellite broadband network with recurring subscription revenue
- Vertically integrated manufacturing lowering per-launch cost versus competitors
- Broad service portfolio spanning consumer, aviation, maritime, and government markets
- Combined Viasat-Inmarsat network provides global coverage and scale
- Established relationships with airlines and government agencies
- Extremely high valuation following its record 2026 IPO
- Heavy capital intensity of Starship and next-generation launch systems
- Regulatory and geopolitical scrutiny of a dominant space infrastructure provider
- High leverage from the Inmarsat acquisition constraining financial flexibility
- Direct competitive threat from Starlink in broadband and in-flight connectivity
- Satellite launch and technical execution risk on next-generation spacecraft
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