SPCX vs HWM Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare SpaceX's rocket launch and Starlink businesses against Howmet Aerospace's fasteners, forgings, and engine components used across the entire aerospace supply chain, including SpaceX's own suppliers.
Use this SpaceX vs Howmet Aerospace comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
HWM holds the edge across 2 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. On fundamentals, SPCX is growing revenue faster (91.90%), while HWM maintains the higher operating margin (28.50%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for SPCX (+58.00%) than for HWM (+27.29%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | SPCX | HWM |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | N/A | 57.5 |
| AI ranki | N/A | #220 |
| Latest closei | $152.71 | $229.67 |
| 1M returni | +9.35% | -18.98% |
| 6M returni | N/A | -1.40% |
| 1Y returni | N/A | +19.72% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SPCX | HWM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.49K (-5.1%) started 2026-06-12 | $11.97K (+19.7%) started 2025-09-18 |
| 5Y ago | $9.49K (-5.1%) started 2026-06-12 | $75.99K (+659.9%) started 2021-09-20 |
| 10Y ago | $9.49K (-5.1%) started 2026-06-12 | $128.47K (+1184.7%) started 2016-11-01 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SPCX | HWM |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.85T | $105.62B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 57.20 |
| Forward P/Ei | 87.68 | 41.26 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 160.10 | 12.04 |
| Analyst targeti | $222.32 | $337.13 |
| Target upsidei | +58.00% | +27.29% |
| Metric | SPCX | HWM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 91.90% | 24.10% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | 33.00% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | +33.00% |
| FCF margini | N/A | +13.05% |
| Operating margini | -1.80% | 28.50% |
| Profit margini | -35.66% | 20.52% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | 34.73% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | 34.73% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 0.21% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 10.34% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | N/A | 1.21 |
| Debt/equityi | 31.21 | 81.37 |
| Current ratioi | 5.12 | 1.82 |
| Quick ratioi | 4.95 | 0.69 |
Over the past year, SPCX and HWM have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.03), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SPCX | HWM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -5.12% | +19.72% |
| CAGRi | -17.79% | +19.73% | |
| Volatilityi | 90.12% | 33.82% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | 0.57 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.27 | 0.83 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 23.23% | |
| Current drawdowni | 27.76% | 21.52% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 31.97% | 4.81% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.66% | 6.90% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 10.70% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 12.40% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -5.12% | +651.04% |
| CAGRi | -17.79% | +49.73% | |
| Volatilityi | 90.12% | 32.53% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | 1.27 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.27 | 1.97 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 23.23% | |
| Current drawdowni | 27.76% | 21.52% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 31.97% | 4.54% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.66% | 6.40% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 10.70% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 13.97% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -5.12% | +1148.58% |
| CAGRi | -17.79% | +29.12% | |
| Volatilityi | 90.12% | 40.02% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | 0.73 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.27 | 1.06 | |
| Max drawdowni | 48.78% | 68.92% | |
| Current drawdowni | 27.76% | 21.52% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 31.97% | 14.06% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 33.66% | 20.98% | |
| Max daily dropi | 16.43% | 20.63% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.89% | 35.43% |
| Category | SPCX | HWM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SPCX | HWM |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense |
| Core business | Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. | Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and in… |
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