EXPE vs TCOM Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Expedia's brand-portfolio OTA model against Trip.com's dominant position in China's outbound and domestic travel market.
Use this Expedia Group vs Trip.com comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
EXPE holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. EXPE has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+29.76% vs -45.17%), though TCOM has the better forward P/E setup (1.45x vs 13.62x for EXPE). EXPE leads on both revenue growth (14.00%) and operating margin (18.98%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for TCOM (+47.40%) than for EXPE (+2.97%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | EXPE | TCOM |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 41.9 | 27.9 |
| AI ranki | #772 | #2326 |
| Latest closei | $283.97 | $39.91 |
| 1M returni | +7.50% | +1.22% |
| 3M returni | +2.01% | -10.86% |
| 6M returni | +15.80% | -24.98% |
| 1Y returni | +29.76% | -45.17% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | EXPE | TCOM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $12.76K (+27.6%) started 2025-10-27 | $5.42K (-45.8%) started 2025-10-27 |
| 5Y ago | $17.37K (+73.7%) started 2021-10-27 | $13.96K (+39.6%) started 2021-10-26 |
| 10Y ago | $24.29K (+142.9%) started 2016-10-27 | $8.63K (-13.7%) started 2016-10-26 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | EXPE | TCOM |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $39.54B | $25.13B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 20.71 | 8.05 |
| Forward P/Ei | 13.62 | 1.45 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | 0.38 |
| EV/Revenuei | 2.51 | -0.39 |
| Analyst targeti | $339.23 | $58.83 |
| Target upsidei | +2.97% | +47.40% |
| Metric | EXPE | TCOM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 14.00% | 5.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 188.70% | N/A |
| EPS growthi | +188.70% | N/A |
| FCF margini | +21.87% | N/A |
| Operating margini | 18.98% | -9.33% |
| Profit margini | 12.97% | 36.91% |
| ROIC proxyi | 89.49% | 15.65% |
| Return on equityi | 89.49% | 15.65% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.58% | 0.00% |
| Payout ratioi | 10.99% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.25 | -0.04 |
| Debt/equityi | 230.27 | 16.77 |
| Current ratioi | 0.80 | 1.33 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.64 | 1.05 |
Over the past year, EXPE and TCOM have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.25), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | EXPE | TCOM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +27.63% | -45.83% |
| CAGRi | +27.73% | -45.94% | |
| Volatilityi | 50.96% | 34.87% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.65 | -1.72 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.97 | -2.01 | |
| Max drawdowni | 37.44% | 51.93% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.26% | 49.46% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.10% | 31.37% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.08% | 35.42% | |
| Max daily dropi | 15.26% | 17.05% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 15.63% | 23.42% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +73.37% | +38.96% |
| CAGRi | +11.64% | +6.80% | |
| Volatilityi | 46.66% | 48.63% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.37 | 0.29 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.55 | 0.41 | |
| Max drawdowni | 60.86% | 51.93% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.26% | 49.46% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 29.40% | 17.01% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 34.78% | 21.21% | |
| Max daily dropi | 17.78% | 17.05% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.90% | 24.52% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +133.47% | -14.11% |
| CAGRi | +8.85% | -1.51% | |
| Volatilityi | 44.48% | 44.49% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.31 | 0.09 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.45 | 0.13 | |
| Max drawdowni | 70.51% | 71.96% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.26% | 49.46% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 25.00% | 33.81% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 30.30% | 38.18% | |
| Max daily dropi | 27.39% | 19.02% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 40.46% | 25.28% |
| Category | EXPE | TCOM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | EXPE | TCOM |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | N/A |
| Industry | Travel Services | Travel Services |
| Core business | Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. | Trip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, in-destination, corporate travel management, and other tra… |
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