PHM vs NVR Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare PulteGroup and NVR by return on equity, buyback pace, backlog conversion, and cyclical resilience.
Use this PulteGroup vs NVR comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
PHM holds the edge across 5 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. PHM leads on both 1-year return (+3.00%) and forward P/E quality (11.43x vs 16.12x for NVR), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, NVR is growing revenue faster (-8.20%), while PHM maintains the higher operating margin (15.69%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for PHM (+10.35%) than for NVR (+4.65%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | PHM | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 61.0 | 43.4 |
| AI ranki | #129 | #840 |
| Latest closei | $124.36 | $6,018.95 |
| 1M returni | +4.95% | -3.46% |
| 3M returni | -3.40% | -4.29% |
| 6M returni | +1.63% | -4.70% |
| 1Y returni | +3.00% | -19.33% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | PHM | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.52K (+5.2%) started 2025-10-29 | $8.21K (-17.9%) started 2025-10-29 |
| 5Y ago | $27.41K (+174.1%) started 2021-11-01 | $12.21K (+22.1%) started 2021-11-01 |
| 10Y ago | $82.43K (+724.3%) started 2016-10-31 | $39.52K (+295.2%) started 2016-10-31 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | PHM | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $24.49B | $16.03B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 13.12 | 16.54 |
| Forward P/Ei | 11.43 | 16.12 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.54 | 1.68 |
| Analyst targeti | $141.86 | $6,262.00 |
| Target upsidei | +10.35% | +4.65% |
| Metric | PHM | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | -9.60% | -8.20% |
| Earnings growthi | -18.20% | -20.40% |
| EPS growthi | -18.20% | -20.40% |
| FCF margini | +6.57% | +9.75% |
| Operating margini | 15.69% | 14.11% |
| Profit margini | 11.62% | 11.12% |
| ROIC proxyi | 14.90% | 28.30% |
| Return on equityi | 14.90% | 28.30% |
| Dividend yieldi | 0.81% | 0.00% |
| Payout ratioi | 11.11% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.21 | 0.90 |
| Debt/equityi | 19.07 | 31.08 |
| Current ratioi | 7.27 | 5.07 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.61 | 1.52 |
Over the past year, PHM and NVR have moved strongly in the same direction (correlation of 0.76), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | PHM | NVR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +5.18% | -17.92% |
| CAGRi | +5.19% | -17.95% | |
| Volatilityi | 33.37% | 28.14% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | -0.72 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.28 | -1.01 | |
| Max drawdowni | 23.30% | 31.29% | |
| Current drawdowni | 12.77% | 25.67% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 10.60% | 15.42% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 12.47% | 18.20% | |
| Max daily dropi | 5.37% | 7.27% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 10.40% | 8.99% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +164.48% | +22.15% |
| CAGRi | +21.51% | +4.09% | |
| Volatilityi | 35.10% | 28.17% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.60 | 0.12 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.91 | 0.18 | |
| Max drawdowni | 38.01% | 43.94% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.22% | 39.35% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 14.47% | 17.50% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.78% | 21.54% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.01% | 7.27% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 17.55% | 15.40% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +640.05% | +295.20% |
| CAGRi | +22.17% | +14.74% | |
| Volatilityi | 36.77% | 32.38% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.61 | 0.45 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.89 | 0.66 | |
| Max drawdowni | 62.11% | 46.13% | |
| Current drawdowni | 16.22% | 39.35% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 13.70% | 14.03% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 17.83% | 18.76% | |
| Max daily dropi | 21.13% | 20.55% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 44.75% | 39.43% |
| Category | PHM | NVR |
|---|---|---|
| Company | PHM | NVR |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Residential Construction | Residential Construction |
| Core business | PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. | NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. |
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Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
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