PTON vs PLNT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Peloton is a turnaround story built on stabilizing its subscriber base and improving profitability after a steep post-pandemic decline in hardware demand, while Planet Fitness is a steadier, asset-light franchise business with a long track record of consistent club growth. Peloton offers more speculative upside if its subscription and cost-cutting initiatives continue to succeed, while Planet Fitness offers a more predictable, franchise-royalty-driven growth model. The choice depends on whether an investor wants turnaround optionality or steady, franchise-based consumer exposure.
Use this comparison to weigh a connected fitness turnaround story still working through subscriber and profitability challenges (Peloton) against a steady, asset-light gym franchise growth model (Planet Fitness).
PLNT holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. PTON has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-30.05% vs -47.58%), though PLNT has the better forward P/E setup (14.10x vs 23.17x for PTON). PLNT leads on both revenue growth (4.50%) and operating margin (33.65%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for PTON (+50.09%) than for PLNT (+30.69%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Believe Peloton's subscriber base and profitability have stabilized after a difficult multi-year period
- Are comfortable with turnaround-stage risk and a less predictable growth trajectory
- Value the high margins of its subscription content business
- Can tolerate continued volatility as the company works through its recovery
- Prefer a steady, asset-light franchise business model over a turnaround story
- Value consistent new club growth and predictable royalty revenue
- Want exposure to budget-conscious consumer fitness demand
- Are comfortable with more moderate but more dependable growth
| Metric | PTON | PLNT |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 23.7 | 32.9 |
| AI ranki | #3417 | #1993 |
| Latest closei | $5.33 | $49.41 |
| 1M returni | +9.90% | -2.76% |
| 3M returni | -15.26% | -6.56% |
| 6M returni | +5.96% | -30.86% |
| 1Y returni | -30.05% | -47.58% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | PTON | PLNT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.99K (-30.1%) started 2025-10-15 | $5.34K (-46.6%) started 2025-10-16 |
| 5Y ago | $626.25 (-93.7%) started 2021-10-15 | $6.11K (-38.9%) started 2021-10-18 |
| 10Y ago | $2.07K (-79.3%) started 2019-09-26 | $25.52K (+155.2%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | PTON | PLNT |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $2.34B | $3.92B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 38.07 | 17.58 |
| Forward P/Ei | 23.17 | 14.10 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 1.12 | 4.92 |
| Analyst targeti | $8.00 | $67.54 |
| Target upsidei | +50.09% | +30.69% |
| Metric | PTON | PLNT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 0.10% | 4.50% |
| Earnings growthi | 160.60% | 26.10% |
| EPS growthi | +160.60% | +26.10% |
| FCF margini | +14.47% | +12.00% |
| Operating margini | 14.43% | 33.65% |
| Profit margini | 2.58% | 18.27% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | N/A |
| Return on equityi | N/A | N/A |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | N/A |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | N/A |
| Betai | 2.55 | 1.02 |
| Debt/equityi | N/A | N/A |
| Current ratioi | 2.84 | 1.58 |
| Quick ratioi | 2.46 | 1.29 |
Over the past year, PTON and PLNT have moved barely in the same direction (correlation of 0.11), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | PTON | PLNT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -30.05% | -46.63% |
| CAGRi | -30.07% | -46.68% | |
| Volatilityi | 59.25% | 49.97% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.37 | -1.07 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.49 | -1.28 | |
| Max drawdowni | 52.80% | 63.83% | |
| Current drawdowni | 32.19% | 55.87% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 28.38% | 34.04% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 31.09% | 40.42% | |
| Max daily dropi | 25.72% | 31.19% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 26.90% | 33.99% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -93.74% | -38.86% |
| CAGRi | -42.55% | -9.38% | |
| Volatilityi | 86.04% | 39.49% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.27 | -0.16 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.39 | -0.21 | |
| Max drawdowni | 97.02% | 64.33% | |
| Current drawdowni | 94.48% | 56.49% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 89.03% | 23.01% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 89.94% | 27.87% | |
| Max daily dropi | 35.35% | 31.19% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 45.55% | 33.99% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -79.31% | +155.22% |
| CAGRi | -20.02% | +9.83% | |
| Volatilityi | 81.68% | 44.12% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.34 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 0.48 | |
| Max drawdowni | 98.28% | 68.72% | |
| Current drawdowni | 96.82% | 56.49% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 71.91% | 17.44% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 80.11% | 22.88% | |
| Max daily dropi | 35.35% | 31.19% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 45.55% | 51.68% |
| Category | PTON | PLNT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Peloton Interactive, Inc. | Planet Fitness, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Leisure | Leisure |
| Core business | Peloton sells connected exercise equipment and subscription fitness content, generating revenue from hardware sales and recurring digital and all-access membership fees. | Planet Fitness operates and franchises a large network of low-cost fitness clubs targeting casual gym-goers, generating revenue from franchise royalties, equipment sales, and corporate-owned club memberships. |
| Investor focus | Investors watch subscriber retention and churn, progress on cost-cutting and profitability initiatives, and whether hardware sales trends have stabilized after a sharp post-pandemic decline. | Investors focus on same-club sales growth, net new club openings, and the health of the franchise royalty and equipment revenue model. |
- High-margin subscription revenue base provides a more profitable foundation than hardware sales alone
- Strong brand recognition and loyal core user base within connected fitness
- Ongoing restructuring efforts have improved cost structure and cash flow versus prior years
- Asset-light franchise model generates high-margin, relatively predictable royalty revenue
- Low membership price point appeals to a broad, less economically sensitive customer base
- Consistent track record of new club growth expanding its national footprint
- Subscriber growth has stalled or declined from pandemic-era peaks, pressuring the long-term growth narrative
- Hardware demand remains well below prior highs, limiting new subscriber inflow
- Balance sheet and profitability improvements are still relatively recent and unproven through a full cycle
- Growth depends on continued franchisee capital investment in new club openings
- Low-price membership model limits pricing power without risking member attrition
- Same-club sales growth can slow during periods of reduced discretionary consumer spending
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