LIVE
GPS
Gap Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
N/A
N/A this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
AEO
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$16.16
-13.37% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
GPS
0
AEO
0
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUPAI Score
GPS N/A
AEO 26.1
1Y Return
GPS N/A
AEO +63.53%
Fwd P/E
GPS N/A
AEO 8.30
Target Up.
GPS N/A
AEO +20.71%
Op. Margin
GPS N/A
AEO N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 7/14/2026
Quick take
GPS vs AEO: Gap Inc vs American Eagle Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Gap has a more diversified four-brand portfolio with Old Navy as its anchor while American Eagle is a focused two-brand company with Aerie as its growth driver. Gap offers more brand diversification; American Eagle offers cleaner brand focus and stronger Gen-Z loyalty through Aerie.
GPS vs AEO is a four-brand portfolio with Old Navy anchoring value retail versus a focused two-brand specialist with Aerie's loyal community — Gap wins if Old Navy and Athleta sustain momentum; American Eagle wins if Aerie's brand loyalty drives consistent comp outperformance.
Live analysis · updated 7/14/2026
GPS and AEO are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
Normalized 1Y performance
GPS
AEO
Not enough data to chart yet.
Recent returns
GPS
AEO
Analyst price targets & sentiment
GPS
Price target data unavailable
N/A
AEO · 10 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Hold (2.9/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$16.00
analyst high$31.00
analyst mean$19.50
current price$16.16
+20.7% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
GPS may suit investors who:
- →want diversified exposure across value (Old Navy), heritage (Gap), premium (Banana Republic), and athletic (Athleta)
- →believe Old Navy's family value positioning is resilient in a consumer-pressured environment
- →prefer a brand portfolio where multiple brands can contribute to recovery without single-brand dependence
- →value Athleta's sustainability brand positioning as a premium women's athletic differentiator
AEO may suit investors who:
- →prefer the focused Aerie + American Eagle strategy without multi-brand complexity
- →value Aerie's body-positive brand identity as a durable Gen-Z competitive moat
- →want denim expertise that provides some pricing power vs fast-fashion commoditizers
- →prefer a simpler two-brand story with cleaner operational execution
Performance & AI score
| Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | N/A | 26.1 |
| AI rank | N/A | #2647 |
| Latest close | N/A | $16.16 |
| 1M return | N/A | -13.37% |
| 6M return | N/A | -36.65% |
| 1Y return | N/A | +63.53% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | N/A | $16.81K (+68.1%) started 2025-07-14 |
| 5Y ago | N/A | $5.97K (-40.3%) started 2021-07-14 |
| 10Y ago | N/A | $17.22K (+72.2%) started 2016-07-14 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | N/A | $2.71B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | 10.16 |
| Forward P/E | N/A | 8.30 |
| Price/Sales | 0.62 | 0.48 |
| EV/Revenue | N/A | 0.79 |
| Analyst target | N/A | $19.50 |
| Target upside | N/A | +20.71% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | N/A | 9.70% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growth | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margin | N/A | +2.55% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | N/A | 4.96% |
| ROIC proxy | N/A | 17.57% |
| Return on equity | N/A | 17.57% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 2.97% |
| Beta | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| Debt/equity | N/A | 114.06 |
| Current ratio | N/A | 1.54 |
| Quick ratio | N/A | 0.38 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
GPS max drawdownN/A
AEO max drawdown46.69%
GPS max wkly dropN/A
AEO max wkly drop24.87%
5Y risk snapshot
GPS max drawdownN/A
AEO max drawdown72.18%
GPS max wkly dropN/A
AEO max wkly drop24.87%
10Y risk snapshot
GPS max drawdownN/A
AEO max drawdown75.66%
GPS max wkly dropN/A
AEO max wkly drop26.08%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | N/A | +63.53% |
| CAGR | N/A | +63.59% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | 0.97 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 46.69% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 13.90% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 24.87% | |
| 5Y | Growth | N/A | -48.75% |
| CAGR | N/A | -12.52% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | -0.07 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 72.18% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 17.47% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 24.87% | |
| 10Y | Growth | N/A | +26.35% |
| CAGR | N/A | +2.37% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | 0.22 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 75.66% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 19.30% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 26.08% |
Business comparison
| Category | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Gap Inc. | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Discretionary |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Global specialty apparel company with Old Navy (value family apparel), Gap (heritage casual), Banana Republic (premium professional), and Athleta (women's athletic). Old Navy is the largest revenue contributor. | Specialty retailer with American Eagle denim/basics for teens and 20s and Aerie body-positive intimates, activewear, and swimwear. |
| Investor focus | Old Navy's comparable-store performance, Banana Republic revitalization, Athleta's competition with Lululemon, Gap brand stabilization, and overall operating margin improvement. | Aerie growth, AE denim brand health vs fast-fashion competition, comparable-store sales, and operating margin. |
GPS strengths
- →Old Navy is one of the largest specialty retailers in the US with broad family demographic appeal
- →Portfolio of brands provides diversification across price points from value (Old Navy) to premium (Banana Republic)
- →Athleta is a fast-growing women's activewear brand with sustainability positioning that differentiates vs Lululemon
AEO strengths
- →Aerie has built a genuinely differentiated brand identity through body-positive marketing that resonates deeply with Gen-Z
- →American Eagle's denim expertise positions it better than competitors in a category where quality matters
- →More focused two-brand portfolio vs Gap's four-brand complexity allows cleaner execution
Risks to watch — GPS
- →Banana Republic has struggled to find consistent brand direction after losing its professional-casual heritage
- →Athleta faces intense competition from Lululemon and Nike in women's activewear
- →Gap brand is in secular decline as the heritage casual market has fragmented dramatically
Risks to watch — AEO
- →SHEIN and Temu price competition directly targets American Eagle's core basics and denim market
- →Aerie growth has slowed from peak as the activewear market matured post-pandemic
- →Promotional pricing in teen apparel compresses margins
Frequently asked questions
Free public comparison
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.
Related comparisons
More comparisons
Browse all 1,000 comparisons →