GPS vs AEO: Gap Inc vs American Eagle Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Gap has a more diversified four-brand portfolio with Old Navy as its anchor while American Eagle is a focused two-brand company with Aerie as its growth driver. Gap offers more brand diversification; American Eagle offers cleaner brand focus and stronger Gen-Z loyalty through Aerie.
GPS vs AEO is a four-brand portfolio with Old Navy anchoring value retail versus a focused two-brand specialist with Aerie's loyal community — Gap wins if Old Navy and Athleta sustain momentum; American Eagle wins if Aerie's brand loyalty drives consistent comp outperformance.
GPS and AEO are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- want diversified exposure across value (Old Navy), heritage (Gap), premium (Banana Republic), and athletic (Athleta)
- believe Old Navy's family value positioning is resilient in a consumer-pressured environment
- prefer a brand portfolio where multiple brands can contribute to recovery without single-brand dependence
- value Athleta's sustainability brand positioning as a premium women's athletic differentiator
- prefer the focused Aerie + American Eagle strategy without multi-brand complexity
- value Aerie's body-positive brand identity as a durable Gen-Z competitive moat
- want denim expertise that provides some pricing power vs fast-fashion commoditizers
- prefer a simpler two-brand story with cleaner operational execution
| Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | N/A | 34.6 |
| AI ranki | N/A | #1991 |
| Latest closei | N/A | $18.05 |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | N/A | $12.48K (+24.8%) started 2025-10-15 |
| 5Y ago | N/A | $9.91K (-0.9%) started 2021-10-15 |
| 10Y ago | N/A | $18.93K (+89.3%) started 2016-10-17 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | N/A | $2.52B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 7.74 |
| Forward P/Ei | N/A | 7.83 |
| Price/Salesi | 0.62 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | N/A | 0.74 |
| Analyst targeti | N/A | $18.36 |
| Target upsidei | N/A | +22.26% |
| Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | N/A | 7.50% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | 75.60% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | +75.60% |
| FCF margini | N/A | +2.50% |
| Operating margini | N/A | 3.65% |
| Profit margini | N/A | 5.86% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | 20.00% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | 20.00% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 3.44% |
| Payout ratioi | N/A | 25.64% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Debt/equityi | N/A | 108.99 |
| Current ratioi | N/A | 1.59 |
| Quick ratioi | N/A | 0.47 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | N/A | +21.61% |
| CAGRi | N/A | +21.63% | |
| Volatilityi | N/A | 51.68% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | N/A | 0.55 | |
| Sortino ratioi | N/A | 0.78 | |
| Max drawdowni | N/A | 47.48% | |
| Current drawdowni | N/A | 34.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | N/A | 26.03% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | N/A | 30.81% | |
| Max daily dropi | N/A | 13.97% | |
| Max wkly dropi | N/A | 24.87% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | N/A | -14.93% |
| CAGRi | N/A | -3.18% | |
| Volatilityi | N/A | 54.42% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | N/A | 0.12 | |
| Sortino ratioi | N/A | 0.18 | |
| Max drawdowni | N/A | 65.10% | |
| Current drawdowni | N/A | 34.30% | |
| Avg drawdowni | N/A | 36.94% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | N/A | 40.59% | |
| Max daily dropi | N/A | 17.47% | |
| Max wkly dropi | N/A | 24.87% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | N/A | +38.96% |
| CAGRi | N/A | +3.35% | |
| Volatilityi | N/A | 52.32% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | N/A | 0.24 | |
| Sortino ratioi | N/A | 0.34 | |
| Max drawdowni | N/A | 75.66% | |
| Current drawdowni | N/A | 44.31% | |
| Avg drawdowni | N/A | 39.10% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | N/A | 44.03% | |
| Max daily dropi | N/A | 19.30% | |
| Max wkly dropi | N/A | 26.08% |
| Category | GPS | AEO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Gap Inc. | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | Apparel Retail |
| Core business | Global specialty apparel company with Old Navy (value family apparel), Gap (heritage casual), Banana Republic (premium professional), and Athleta (women's athletic). Old Navy is the largest revenue contributor. | Specialty retailer with American Eagle denim/basics for teens and 20s and Aerie body-positive intimates, activewear, and swimwear. |
| Investor focus | Old Navy's comparable-store performance, Banana Republic revitalization, Athleta's competition with Lululemon, Gap brand stabilization, and overall operating margin improvement. | Aerie growth, AE denim brand health vs fast-fashion competition, comparable-store sales, and operating margin. |
- Old Navy is one of the largest specialty retailers in the US with broad family demographic appeal
- Portfolio of brands provides diversification across price points from value (Old Navy) to premium (Banana Republic)
- Athleta is a fast-growing women's activewear brand with sustainability positioning that differentiates vs Lululemon
- Aerie has built a genuinely differentiated brand identity through body-positive marketing that resonates deeply with Gen-Z
- American Eagle's denim expertise positions it better than competitors in a category where quality matters
- More focused two-brand portfolio vs Gap's four-brand complexity allows cleaner execution
- Banana Republic has struggled to find consistent brand direction after losing its professional-casual heritage
- Athleta faces intense competition from Lululemon and Nike in women's activewear
- Gap brand is in secular decline as the heritage casual market has fragmented dramatically
- SHEIN and Temu price competition directly targets American Eagle's core basics and denim market
- Aerie growth has slowed from peak as the activewear market matured post-pandemic
- Promotional pricing in teen apparel compresses margins
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