SAIA vs ODFL Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Saia and Old Dominion by service territory expansion, operating ratio improvement, network density, yield growth, and whether Saia's national expansion can challenge Old Dominion's market position.
Use this Saia vs Old Dominion comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
SAIA holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. ODFL has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+38.86% vs +35.89%), though SAIA has the better forward P/E setup (29.12x vs 36.11x for ODFL). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for SAIA (+9.72%) than for ODFL (-1.70%).
| Metric | SAIA | ODFL |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 64.1 | 56.8 |
| AI rank | #78 | #261 |
| Latest close | $423.68 | $232.99 |
| 1M return | -1.11% | +6.37% |
| 6M return | +17.58% | +33.67% |
| 1Y return | +35.89% | +38.86% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SAIA | ODFL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.59K (+35.9%) started 2025-07-24 | $13.94K (+39.4%) started 2025-07-25 |
| 5Y ago | $20.63K (+106.3%) started 2021-07-26 | $18.62K (+86.2%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $170.08K (+1600.8%) started 2016-07-25 | $111.48K (+1014.8%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SAIA | ODFL |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $11.27B | $48.63B |
| Trailing P/E | 44.55 | 48.82 |
| Forward P/E | 29.12 | 36.11 |
| Price/Sales | 3.46 | 5.91 |
| EV/Revenue | 3.56 | 8.87 |
| Analyst target | $464.86 | $229.86 |
| Target upside | +9.72% | -1.70% |
| Metric | SAIA | ODFL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 2.40% | -2.90% |
| Earnings growth | 0.00% | -4.20% |
| EPS growth | 0.00% | -4.20% |
| FCF margin | +1.06% | +15.80% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 23.78% |
| Profit margin | 7.84% | 18.46% |
| ROIC proxy | 10.23% | 23.33% |
| Return on equity | 10.23% | 23.33% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.50% |
| Beta | 2.13 | 1.18 |
| Debt/equity | 9.97 | 0.91 |
| Current ratio | 1.52 | 1.56 |
| Quick ratio | 1.29 | 1.44 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SAIA | ODFL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +35.89% | +39.44% |
| CAGR | +35.91% | +39.58% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.79 | 0.93 | |
| Max drawdown | 24.92% | 24.42% | |
| Max daily drop | 9.29% | 9.66% | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.39% | 16.35% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +106.30% | +83.09% |
| CAGR | +15.61% | +12.87% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.46 | 0.39 | |
| Max drawdown | 60.94% | 45.37% | |
| Max daily drop | 30.66% | 12.97% | |
| Max wkly drop | 32.20% | 17.13% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +1600.84% | +976.99% |
| CAGR | +32.78% | +26.84% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.76 | 0.75 | |
| Max drawdown | 60.94% | 45.37% | |
| Max daily drop | 30.66% | 12.97% | |
| Max wkly drop | 32.20% | 17.13% |
| Category | SAIA | ODFL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | SAIA | ODFL |
| Sector | N/A | Industrials |
| Industry | N/A | Trucking |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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