YUM vs SHAK Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Yum! Brands' royalty-driven global franchise model against Shake Shack's company-operated growth story.
Use this Yum! Brands vs Shake Shack comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
YUM holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. YUM leads on both 1-year return (+4.59%) and forward P/E quality (20.63x vs 45.88x for SHAK), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, SHAK is growing revenue faster (17.20%), while YUM maintains the higher operating margin (32.78%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for SHAK (+24.57%) than for YUM (+12.66%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
| Metric | YUM | SHAK |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 52.0 | 34.0 |
| AI ranki | #394 | #1876 |
| Latest closei | $149.54 | $64.54 |
| 1M returni | +7.87% | +16.18% |
| 3M returni | -0.49% | +2.12% |
| 6M returni | -4.42% | -35.56% |
| 1Y returni | +4.59% | -30.86% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | YUM | SHAK |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.6K (+6.0%) started 2025-10-28 | $6.91K (-30.9%) started 2025-10-27 |
| 5Y ago | $13.58K (+35.8%) started 2021-10-28 | $9.24K (-7.6%) started 2021-10-27 |
| 10Y ago | $33.04K (+230.4%) started 2016-10-28 | $20.46K (+104.6%) started 2016-10-27 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | YUM | SHAK |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $41.99B | $2.79B |
| Trailing P/Ei | 19.38 | 68.59 |
| Forward P/Ei | 20.63 | 45.88 |
| Price/Salesi | 5.20 | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 6.27 | 2.13 |
| Analyst targeti | $173.34 | $81.17 |
| Target upsidei | +12.66% | +24.57% |
| Metric | YUM | SHAK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 12.20% | 17.20% |
| Earnings growthi | 131.60% | -9.80% |
| EPS growthi | +131.60% | -9.80% |
| FCF margini | +9.55% | -2.69% |
| Operating margini | 32.78% | 5.07% |
| Profit margini | 25.41% | 2.56% |
| ROIC proxyi | N/A | 7.94% |
| Return on equityi | N/A | 7.94% |
| Dividend yieldi | 1.95% | 0.00% |
| Payout ratioi | 36.78% | 0.00% |
| Dividend growth streaki | No increase yet | N/A |
| Betai | 0.55 | 1.68 |
| Debt/equityi | N/A | 166.58 |
| Current ratioi | 0.59 | 1.67 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.33 | 1.53 |
Over the past year, YUM and SHAK have moved weakly in the same direction (correlation of 0.22), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | YUM | SHAK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | +5.99% | -30.86% |
| CAGRi | +6.01% | -30.88% | |
| Volatilityi | 24.67% | 55.29% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.18 | -0.46 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.26 | -0.59 | |
| Max drawdowni | 19.27% | 50.00% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.07% | 38.35% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 6.86% | 23.27% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 8.53% | 28.70% | |
| Max daily dropi | 4.41% | 28.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 9.55% | 33.79% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | +26.91% | -7.60% |
| CAGRi | +4.88% | -1.57% | |
| Volatilityi | 21.26% | 52.17% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.17 | 0.21 | |
| Max drawdowni | 23.10% | 63.15% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.07% | 54.56% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 8.08% | 29.24% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 9.51% | 33.74% | |
| Max daily dropi | 8.44% | 28.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 11.04% | 33.79% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | +181.61% | +104.63% |
| CAGRi | +10.91% | +7.42% | |
| Volatilityi | 23.10% | 50.84% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.37 | 0.31 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.55 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdowni | 52.17% | 70.89% | |
| Current drawdowni | 11.07% | 54.56% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 7.61% | 30.67% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 10.42% | 36.44% | |
| Max daily dropi | 11.00% | 28.26% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.98% | 33.79% |
| Category | YUM | SHAK |
|---|---|---|
| Company | YUM | SHAK |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Core business | Yum! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises traditional and non-traditional quick service restaurants in the United States, China, and internationally. | Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. |
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Volatility, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum, current, and average drawdown, Ulcer Index, and worst single-day and single-week drops across every timeframe.
Pairwise daily-return correlation for every combination, so you can see whether two holdings actually diversify each other or just move together.
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