JBLU vs DAL Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
JetBlue offers a smaller, leisure-focused turnaround story, while Delta provides scale, a diversified premium and loyalty revenue base, and a reputation for operational strength.
Investors weighing JetBlue against Delta are choosing between a higher-risk, lower-cost restructuring bet and a larger, more diversified premium network carrier.
DAL holds the edge across 5 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. DAL leads on both 1-year return (+38.05%) and forward P/E quality (9.21x vs -6.24x for JBLU), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. DAL leads on both revenue growth (18.70%) and operating margin (7.92%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for DAL (+31.37%) than for JBLU (+18.31%).
Human Wall Street analysts' price targets, typically implying a ~12-month view — a separate signal from this site's own AI Prediction Signal further down the page, which is a 5-/30-day machine-learning forecast based on price history alone.
- Believe in JetBlue's cost-restructuring and turnaround plan
- Want targeted exposure to East Coast and Caribbean leisure travel
- Can tolerate higher volatility and thinner margins
- Are seeking a smaller-cap airline recovery story
- Prefer scale, network diversification, and premium revenue exposure
- Value a large, high-margin loyalty and credit card business
- Seek a more established, cash-generating network carrier
- Are comfortable with typical airline cyclicality and capital intensity
| Metric | JBLU | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| AI scorei | 24.8 | 44.2 |
| AI ranki | #2923 | #756 |
| Latest closei | $4.57 | $82.50 |
| 1M returni | -6.54% | +0.11% |
| 6M returni | +8.81% | +26.67% |
| 1Y returni | -9.15% | +38.05% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | JBLU | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.05K (-9.5%) started 2025-09-22 | $14.01K (+40.1%) started 2025-09-22 |
| 5Y ago | $3.1K (-69.0%) started 2021-09-21 | $20.2K (+102.0%) started 2021-09-23 |
| 10Y ago | $2.66K (-73.4%) started 2016-09-21 | $26.37K (+163.7%) started 2016-09-23 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | JBLU | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Market capi | $1.65B | $52.66B |
| Trailing P/Ei | N/A | 13.28 |
| Forward P/Ei | -6.24 | 9.21 |
| Price/Salesi | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenuei | 0.95 | 1.01 |
| Analyst targeti | $5.17 | $105.19 |
| Target upsidei | +18.31% | +31.37% |
| Metric | JBLU | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growthi | 14.50% | 18.70% |
| Earnings growthi | N/A | -25.40% |
| EPS growthi | N/A | -25.40% |
| FCF margini | -9.69% | +4.13% |
| Operating margini | -5.23% | 7.92% |
| Profit margini | -9.32% | 5.78% |
| ROIC proxyi | -44.35% | 20.13% |
| Return on equityi | -44.35% | 20.13% |
| Dividend yieldi | N/A | 0.97% |
| Payout ratioi | 0.00% | 12.44% |
| Dividend growth streaki | N/A | No increase yet |
| Betai | 1.70 | 1.31 |
| Debt/equityi | 591.43 | 96.65 |
| Current ratioi | 0.70 | 0.42 |
| Quick ratioi | 0.54 | 0.27 |
Over the past year, JBLU and DAL have moved moderately in the same direction (correlation of 0.69), based on daily returns.
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | JBLU | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growthi | -9.50% | +40.09% |
| CAGRi | -9.54% | +40.20% | |
| Volatilityi | 63.04% | 39.16% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | 0.08 | 0.95 | |
| Sortino ratioi | 0.12 | 1.52 | |
| Max drawdowni | 37.62% | 23.11% | |
| Current drawdowni | 29.26% | 11.92% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 15.71% | 6.40% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 18.74% | 8.43% | |
| Max daily dropi | 11.86% | 6.82% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 21.38% | 13.05% | |
| 5Y | Growthi | -69.04% | +97.81% |
| CAGRi | -20.90% | +14.63% | |
| Volatilityi | 61.09% | 40.82% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.15 | 0.43 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.22 | 0.65 | |
| Max drawdowni | 78.97% | 47.92% | |
| Current drawdowni | 71.98% | 11.92% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 55.98% | 15.39% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 59.08% | 18.62% | |
| Max daily dropi | 25.71% | 12.78% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 25.34% | 24.57% | |
| 10Y | Growthi | -73.41% | +136.22% |
| CAGRi | -12.41% | +8.98% | |
| Volatilityi | 55.03% | 42.06% | |
| Sharpe ratioi | -0.05 | 0.31 | |
| Sortino ratioi | -0.07 | 0.45 | |
| Max drawdowni | 85.56% | 69.18% | |
| Current drawdowni | 80.76% | 11.92% | |
| Avg drawdowni | 46.81% | 22.82% | |
| Ulcer Indexi | 54.09% | 28.56% | |
| Max daily dropi | 25.71% | 25.99% | |
| Max wkly dropi | 43.55% | 44.95% |
| Category | JBLU | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Company | JetBlue Airways Corporation | Delta Air Lines, Inc. |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials |
| Industry | Airlines | Airlines |
| Core business | JetBlue is a low-cost carrier focused on East Coast, Caribbean, and Latin American leisure routes, with a smaller network than the major legacy carriers. | Delta operates one of the largest global airline networks, with a strong hub system, premium cabin offerings, and a large co-branded credit card and loyalty program. |
| Investor focus | Watch progress on cost-cutting initiatives, fleet simplification, and whether leisure travel demand holds up. | Watch premium and loyalty revenue trends, corporate travel demand, and operational reliability metrics. |
- Loyal customer base built around service quality and value pricing
- Strong positioning in East Coast leisure and Caribbean markets
- Ongoing restructuring efforts aimed at improving cost structure
- Diversified revenue base including a large, high-margin loyalty program
- Strong reputation for operational reliability and premium service
- Scale advantages across domestic and international route networks
- Thinner margins and higher sensitivity to fuel and labor cost swings
- Smaller scale limits negotiating leverage versus larger network carriers
- Turnaround execution risk if cost and revenue initiatives underdeliver
- High fixed costs and capital intensity typical of network carriers
- Exposure to international demand shifts and geopolitical disruptions
- Fuel price volatility remains a persistent margin risk
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